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9

Hop Hop Spinnekop

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 67

Greyville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za C Stakes · 7f 210y

#2

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

48%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. Winner here in May. 14/10, good third of 7 in handicap at Scottsville (8f, good) 47 days ago. Sets the benchmark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength42%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 08/11/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1328/11C8C8 @ Kenilworth 22/11/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13022/11C8C8 @ Kenilworth 30/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13230/03C8C8 @ Greyville 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1329/05C84 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASS28/0645 @ Scottsville 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f101y Gd 13319/0754 @ Scottsville 09/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS9/084projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-09Scottsville43rd2nd+1
2026-07-19Scottsville52nd3rd−1
2026-06-28Scottsville43rd2nd+1
2026-05-09Greyville?1st5th−4
2026-03-30Kenilworth?4th8th−4
2025-11-22Kenilworth?13th17th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/119/059/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength42%

Delivery trend -2.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20257th10/147%50%+0.03
22/11/202513th16/116%8%-0.08
30/03/20264th20/10%63%+0.63
09/05/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
28/06/20263rd16/116%86%+0.70
19/07/20262nd13/891%88%-0.04
09/08/20263rd5/493%67%-0.27