1

Pied Piper
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 63
Greyville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za C Stakes · 7f 210y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength47%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Greyville | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Greyville | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength12%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 05/12/2025 | 13th | 6/1 | 68% | 8% | -0.61 |
| 23/02/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 06/05/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |