Red Mountain
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 74
Greyville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za C Stakes · 7f 210y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Scottsville | 4 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Scottsville | 4 | 15th | 14th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Scottsville | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Scottsville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-25 | Greyville | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 29% | -0.29 |
| 31/08/2025 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 25/11/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 23/05/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/06/2026 | 15th | 40/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 29/07/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |