7
Song To The Moon
6yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 77
Greyville · Online Form Guide www.galloptv.co.za C Stakes · 7f 210y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength35%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Greyville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Scottsville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Greyville | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 17% | -0.65 |
| 13/01/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 17% | -0.25 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 02/08/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 55% | -0.31 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 88% | +0.02 |