10
Escapologist
7yo Mare · 9-1 · OR 65
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 1m 2f 206y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-03-27 | Greyville | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Greyville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | Scottsville | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Scottsville | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/05/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 16/06/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/07/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 31/08/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 86% | -0.04 |
| 26/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 43% | -0.15 |
| 27/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |