1

Mike's Mazarin
5yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 63
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 1m 2f 206y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Greyville | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Scottsville | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Greyville | 4 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Greyville | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Scottsville | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-07-30 | Scottsville | 3 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2024 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 18/01/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 29/06/2025 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/01/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 08/02/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |