1

Mike's Mazarin

5yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 63

Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 1m 2f 206y

#8

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. 33/1, first run since leaving D. C. Howells when fifth of 6 in minor event at Greyville (8f, AW) 38 days ago. Significantly up in trip. Uphill task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 8.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Kenilworth 07/12/2024 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f208y Sft 1167/12C5C5 @ Kenilworth 18/01/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 1364 @ Scottsville 29/06/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13829/0643 @ Scottsville 30/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f153y Gd 125 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Scottsville 31/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f205y Gd 14131/08C5C5 @ Greyville 26/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1224 @ Greyville 18/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 13518/0144 @ Scottsville 08/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m154y GS 130C5 @ Greyville 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR - · 7f210y Std 13218/08C5projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Greyville?5th6th−1
2026-02-08Scottsville49th9th0
2026-01-18Greyville412th12th0
2025-12-26Greyville?8th9th−1
2025-08-31Scottsville?7th8th−1
2025-07-30Scottsville37th6th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1230/0718/0118/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/12/20247th22/10%40%+0.40
18/01/202510th18/15%18%+0.13
29/06/202512th33/10%21%+0.21
30/07/20257th9/153%0%-0.53
31/08/20257th25/10%14%+0.14
26/12/20258th20/10%0%0.00
18/01/202612th66/10%15%+0.15
08/02/20269th28/10%11%+0.11
18/08/20265th16/116%20%+0.04