3
No Pressure
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 77
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 1m 2f 206y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
13%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Greyville | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-07 | Greyville | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Greyville | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-09 | Greyville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 17/01/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 07/08/2026 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 36% | -0.35 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |