9

Reign On Impact

4yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 48

Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 1m 2f 206y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★ Timeform

Commentary

100/1 and blinkered for 1st time, 13¾ lengths eleventh of 12 to Tunguska in handicap at this C&D (good to soft) 49 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength10%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.1 /10 (raw 8.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Greyville 07/06/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1327/06C8C8 @ Greyville 29/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f98y GS 12529/08C8C8 @ Greyville 03/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f208y Sft 1273/10C8C8 @ Scottsville 25/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 12625/01C8C5 @ Scottsville 15/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m3f205y GS 11615/02C5C0 @ Turffontein 04/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f40y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS4/04C?4 @ Greyville 07/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f206y GS 1257/084projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Greyville411th11th0
2026-04-04Turffontein?12th8th+4
2026-02-15Scottsville?8th9th−1
2026-01-25Scottsville?1st6th−4
2025-10-03Greyville?12th17th−4
2025-08-29Greyville?6th11th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0625/017/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength0%

Delivery trend -1.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/202510th33/10%0%0.00
29/08/20256th40/10%44%+0.44
03/10/202512th8/158%0%-0.58
25/01/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
15/02/20268th13/266%13%-0.53
04/04/202612th40/10%8%+0.08
07/08/202611th25/10%9%+0.09