5
Saxon Dynasty
5yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 66
Greyville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future Class 4 · 1m 2f 206y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Greyville | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Greyville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Greyville | 3 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-05 | Scottsville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Scottsville | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/04/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 22/06/2025 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 20% | -0.27 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 9/4 | 88% | 27% | -0.61 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |