13:35 · Curragh

Qatar Racing And Equestrian Club Renaissance Stakes (Group 3)

6fGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 110
7/4
Power Blue silks

AMO Racing Limited

3yo Colt · 9-10

Space Blues - Visions (Worthadd)

Billy Lee60%Robson Aguiar
274410
6.0Going 8.0

Phoenix Stakes winner at 2 who has been overfaced at Group 1 level this season but bounced back to win a Group 2 at this course over 7f in July (beating Big Gossey). Struggled back at the top level last time but this drop in grade will help and he looks a big player back at 6f.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par12/042/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par23/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par19/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par22/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 90%12/04Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 54%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%23/05Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 15%22/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.9%Ahead 4/4
9
3
OR 101
2/1
Soul Love silks

David Ward

3yo Filly · 9-2

Starman - Lambeth Walk (Charm Spirit)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%2/4K R Burke60%
191312
8.0Going 9.0

British raider who has made up into a useful sprinter with 4 wins from 7 starts and ran well when second of 8 in Group 3 at Naas 35 days ago. Consistent sort who looks sure to give her running.

Class Advantage

6/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0314/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par10/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par22/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par23/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%6/03Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 86%23/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.5%Ahead 3/4
2
2
OR 104
10/1
Big Gossey silks

Allegro Syndicate

9yo Gelding · 9-7

Gutaifan - Toy Show (Danehill)

Robert Whearty60%4/25C O'Brien
212590
4.0

Remarkable course specialist with 10 wins here including 5 over C&D. Won here in June but last 2 runs have been at unsuitable trips. Hard to rule out back at this trip around here and looks sure to give it a good go up against younger rivals.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/0528/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par19/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par9/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par29/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par13/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 89%23/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%19/07Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%29/08Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%13/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.7%Ahead 3/4
5
5
OR 101
5/1
Brussels silks

Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,D Smith,Westerberg

3yo Colt · 9-5

Wootton Bassett - Fond Words (Shamardal)

R L Moore70%1/4A P O'Brien80%
640507
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

In top hands but hasn't hit the heights his juvenile campaign promised and looked laboured when seventh of 17 in a Group 1 over 5f at this course 14 days ago. Back up in trip now and needs a lot more, though did win his maiden over C&D last May.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/0523/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par18/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par31/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par13/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 29%1/05Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 19 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%19/06Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 21%31/07Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 63%13/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.4%Ahead 4/4
8
6
OR 104
7/1
Royal Bay Cen silks

David A Skelly

3yo Filly · 9-2

New Bay - Royal Razalma (Lope De Vega)

Ben Coen70%1/2J P Murtagh
144514
6.0

Ex-French filly who went especially well fresh when winning a listed race impressively on stable debut at Cork on heavy going in May before respectable fourth of 8 in a Group 3 at Naas later that month. Now returns after 133 days off for in-form yard and demands respect.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/073/08 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a20/09 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a11/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par17/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%20/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%3/05Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 57%17/05
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 2/4
7
4
OR 90
50/1
Fregada silks

Ballyhimikin Stud

4yo Filly · 9-4

Kodiac - Violet's Gift (Cadeaux Genereux)

J M Sheridan60%J Feane
096643
6.0

Useful sort who made frame in listed company over this trip last 2 starts, including when third to Soul Love last time. Also a C&D winner but this demands a lot more.

Class Advantage

28/09 · C1 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par28/0910/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par23/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par14/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par28/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par22/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%28/09Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 44%23/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%28/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%22/07
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.5%Ahead 3/4
4
7
OR 96
33/1
Tango Flare silks

R J McSharry

7yo Gelding · 9-7

Fulbright - Magadar (Lujain)

Luke McAteer4/18P T Foley80%
901209
4.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Won at Fairyhouse in June and produced good second in a listed race here later that month. Proved vulnerable in handicaps last 2 starts and this task may prove beyond him.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/0423/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par5/06 · C10 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par28/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par18/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par13/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲8
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%27/04Pos 18 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 19%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%5/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 19 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 19 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 5%18/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 65%13/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.9%Ahead 4/4
3
8
OR 104
33/1
East Hampton silks

N Molloy

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Cracksman - Sitar (Aqlaam)

Robbie ColganD Marnane
602566
4.0

Yet to win beyond handicap company and not kicked on from good second here over 7f on reappearance. Drops back to 6f for the first time this year but best on softer going and needs to find some progress at this level.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/0813/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par28/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par11/06 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par19/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par21/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 17%14/08Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%28/03Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%19/07Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 44%21/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.9%Ahead 3/4
6
9
OR 103
25/1
Charles Darwin silks

Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,D Smith,Westerberg

3yo Colt · 9-5

No Nay Never - Muirin (Born To Sea)

Wayne Lordan0/1A P O'Brien
111800
3.0

High-class juvenile who won the Norfolk Stakes before missing the rest of his 2-y-o campaign. Returned in April with a routine win in a listed race at Navan but has gone the wrong way since and has plenty of questions to answer with blinkers now removed.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a18/0519/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par17/05 · C1 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par18/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/14 | Expected: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/14 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/11 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 8 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 8 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 16 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 16 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%19/06Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%18/07
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -37.1%Ahead 0/4