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15:09 · Ffos Las

Bridge, For All Family Occasions Handicap (Div 1)

1mGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Market Fav3
OR 57
3/1
Prince Ali silks

Faulkner & Jenkins

Prince Ali

8yo Gelding · 9-8

Twilight Son - Desert Liaison (Dansili)

Zoe Lewis60%4/20−7lbT Faulkner60%
361291
7.0
Cheek pieces

Dual winner at Chepstow this year, landing a 9-runner 0-55 handicap in June and a 7f similar event there in August, beating Escape Magic by 2¾ lengths on latest. Up 6 lb and now back at 1m, but looks sure to give another good account.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par6/045/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%6/04Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%11/08Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.2%Ahead 3/4
4
4
OR 56
7/2
Homeland silks

Mr T Faulkner

Homeland

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Land Force - Karen's Caper (War Chant)

Finley Marsh70%T Faulkner60%
534135
6.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Underlined good start for new yard by justifying support to when winning 1¼m handicap at this course in July. Undone by 3 lb rise at Lingfield next time, though, and ran about as well as could be expected from 5 lb out of the handicap in 1m event at Chepstow last time.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par1/126/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readWELL IN
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%1/12Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%15/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 60%25/07Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 73%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 2/4
5
2
OR 55
7/1
Scarfo silks

Ian Muir

Scarfo

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Soldier's Call - Midsummer Breeze (Havana Gold)

Charlie Tucker70%0/10−7lbB J Llewellyn
226334
6.0Class ↓4

Won at Chepstow in June and has pretty much held his form since, though a recent third in a 0-85 event back at Chepstow from 13 lb out of the handicap leaves him on a mark 9 lb above his last winning one.

Class Advantage

23/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par23/0616/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 89%23/06Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 55%9/08Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 87%31/08Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 63%21/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.8%Ahead 2/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 58
8/1
Rosemary's Rose silks

Middleham Park Racing Cvii

Rosemary's Rose

4yo Filly · 9-9

Belardo - Escallonia (Arcano)

Saffie Osborne70%B R Millman60%
622335
6.0

Dual 1m all-weather winner over the winter. Has largely been running well whilst proving expensive to follow of late, 1½ lengths third of 8 to Kaleidoscope Eyes in handicap (evens) at this track (7.5f) last month, but then disappointed in 7f event at Chepstow last time. Return to 1m should suit.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par22/051/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%22/05Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%17/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 71%4/08Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 43%29/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.7%Ahead 0/4
3
7
OR 60
10/1
Thestral silks

Mr Alan Dean

Thestral

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Dream Ahead - Vasilia (Dansili)

Myla Coppins60%−5lbA W Carroll60%
802305
4.0
Cheek pieces

A fair 7f scorer (albeit not straightforward) for Hugo Palmer who signed off for that yard with a good third at Wetherby in June. Not in same form on either start for this stable, though.

Class Advantage

25/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par25/0312/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 13%25/03Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%12/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%8/07Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%4/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.0%Ahead 4/4
10
8
OR 46
10/1
Pebble Dash silks

Dave Maddocks And Partner

Pebble Dash

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Kodi Bear - Zippy Rock (Fastnet Rock)

K T O'Neill0/1B J Llewellyn60%
467383
5.0
Visor

Long-standing maiden who has tended to save his best for Newcastle but ran one of his better races when 3 lengths third of 9 to Equion at this course on latest.

Class Advantage

10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/0620/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par19/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%10/06Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 14%19/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%28/08Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 75%21/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.0%Ahead 3/4
6
5
OR 58
7/1
Cosmic Girl silks

Mr Malcolm C Denmark

Cosmic Girl

3yo Filly · 9-5

Wootton Bassett - Waldnah (New Approach)

Callum Hutchinson60%0/1A M Balding60%
365
4.0
Hood

Wootton Bassett filly who showed plenty to work on when third of 5 in novice at Lingfield (7.5f, good) back in May. Has gone wrong way both stats since and a leap of faith required to make a case for her making an immediate impact in handicap company.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0516/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/089/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength78%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%26/05Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%16/08Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%9/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.1%Ahead 1/3
7
6
OR 57
10/1
Uniter silks

Paddock To Pub Racing

Uniter

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Oasis Dream - Regent (Frankel)

Rob HornbyD J Coakley70%
67P854
4.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +2

Maiden who failed to progress for Andrew Balding. Hasn't managed to get seriously competitive for new yard either, though ran one of this season's better races when 2¼ lengths fourth of 8 to Tronido at Epsom last month.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par1/0119/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/01 · mark par1/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par31/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%1/01Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%1/04Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%19/08Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%31/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.1%Ahead 3/4
8
9
OR 50
16/1
A Rose Adaay silks

Paul & Ann de Weck

A Rose Adaay

4yo Filly · 9-1

Adaay - La Donacella (Sir Percy)

Ben Ffrench-Davis1/6−5lbG Harris60%
334818
5.0
Cheek pieces

Got off the mark in first-time cheekpieces in 11-runner handicap at Chepstow (7f, soft) last month, suited by being held up in a strongly-run race. Failed to back that up at Bath last time, though.

Class Advantage

30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par30/0624/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%30/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%9/08Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 30%12/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 2/4
9
10
OR 53
20/1
Grand Vista silks

Muir Racing Partnership - Epsom Downs

Grand Vista

3yo Colt · 9-0

Far Above - Very Nice (Daylami)

Paddy BradleyW Muir & C Grassick
038368
4.0

Unreliable sort. Below-par eighth of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f) 32 days ago, looking a hard ride. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

9/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par9/068/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par6/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%9/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 22%21/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%6/08Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%26/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.7%Ahead 1/4