IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. cork
  3. race-5

14:55 · Cork

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Navigation Stakes (Listed)

1m 2f 90yGoing TBCClass 13YO onlyTURF12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
2
OR 102
5/1
Caught U Sleeping silks

Anthony Clarke

Caught U Sleeping

3yo Filly · 9-3

Cotai Glory - Parasail (New Approach)

Colin Keane1/2N Meade
812334
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓0

Found improvement when winning listed race at Naas in May and better form when making the frame in Group 2 and Group 3s since. Respected back down in class despite her penalty.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par4/059/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par24/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par4/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par14/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par19/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%4/05Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%24/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 71%14/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%19/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.1%Ahead 2/4
9
Market Fav7
OR 104
4/1
Summer Is Tomorrow silks

Michael Hilary Burke

Summer Is Tomorrow

3yo Colt · 9-5

Mohaather - Mutebah (Marju)

J M Sheridan60%0/3J P O'Brien60%
692214
5.0
Visor

Dual winner at 2 yrs who has improved since fitted with a visor, landing the odds by a wide margin at Gowran before an excellent fourth of 22 off a mark of 102 at the Curragh 16 days ago. Looks more than ready for this level now.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par1/067/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par28/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par11/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par25/07 · C10 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par13/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲7
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 58%1/06Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 93%28/06Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 86%13/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.2%Ahead 2/4
7
3
OR 98
12/1
Mr Vettori silks

Newtown Anner Stud Farm Ltd

Mr Vettori

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Lope De Vega - Celestial Object (Galileo)

Scott McCullagh0/1Mrs J Harrington80%
212540
4.0
Cheek pieces

Heavy-ground maiden winner at Gowran last autumn. Better form in defeat this season but this looks another stiffish task. Has since been gelded.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a30/0820/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par6/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par23/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par31/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 83%30/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%24/04Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 63%23/05Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 41%31/07
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.3%Ahead 1/4
8
5
OR 102
5/1
Shaihaan silks

Al Shaqab Racing

Shaihaan

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Night Of Thunder - Sea Of Faith (Sea The Stars)

Chris Hayes0/1Donnacha O'Brien
414355
4.0Class ↓1

Convincing winner of Curragh maiden on reappearance but highly tried after. This looks more his level and easier going could also be a plus. Has been gelded.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0928/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par10/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par23/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par28/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par30/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%27/09Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%10/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%28/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%30/07
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.6%Ahead 2/4
11
6
OR 91
14/1
Alphecca silks

Gerard Kervick & Crampscastle Bloodstock Ltd

Alphecca

3yo Filly · 9-0

Sioux Nation - Nepali (The Gurkha)

Gary Carroll60%2/8J G Murphy60%
117982
4.0
Cheek pieces

Ended last season with back-to-back wins in a Killarney maiden and valuable sales race at Naas. Struggled on handicap debut/Group 3 races in the spring but yard is going much better now and she resumed progress back from a break when second in this headgear in Listowel handicap last week.

Class Advantage

6/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/1012/10 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/10 · mark par27/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par4/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par23/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par21/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%6/10Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%27/04Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 13%23/05Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 93%21/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.7%Ahead 3/4
5
9
OR 95
6/1
Magnum Cor silks

Millennium Stud SP ZO O

Magnum Cor

3yo Colt · 9-5

Sea The Stars - Miss Macnamara (Dylan Thomas)

Declan McDonoghJ P O'Brien
41
6.0

Sea The Stars colt who hails from a fine staying family and confirmed debut promise when winning Roscommon maiden 6 weeks ago. Looks useful but drop in trip is likely to find him out at this level.

Class Advantage

6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/0818/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 77%6/08Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%18/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.0%Ahead 1/2
12
Top Pick1
OR 85
25/1
Garden Party silks

D Smith,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,Westerberg

Garden Party

3yo Filly · 9-0

Wootton Bassett - Roly Poly (War Front)

Ronan WhelanA P O'Brien
2210
5.0Going 8.0

Runner-up to stablemates both starts last year and went one better in a maiden at Cork on return. However, limitations seemingly exposed in Group 3 at the Curragh last month.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/1027/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/1014/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/0829/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲5
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 92%18/10Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 91%27/10Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%14/08Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 8%29/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.8%Ahead 3/4
4
4
OR 95
8/1
Latin America silks

D Smith,Mrs J Magnier,M Tabor,Westerberg

Latin America

3yo Colt · 9-5

Gleneagles - Carrie's Vision (Oasis Dream)

Ben Coen70%1/3J P Murtagh
213
6.0Going 8.0

Gleneagles colt who confirmed debut promise (second to Shaihaan) when landing the odds in 18-runner maiden at Navan in April. Shaped well considering the drop in trip seemed to be against him in a useful event at Naas the following month. Off since but likely more to come.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0325/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0417/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a17/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%28/03Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%25/04Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%17/05
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.3%Ahead 2/3
1
11
OR 109
6/1
Action silks

Michael Tabor & Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier

Action

3yo Colt · 9-5

Frankel - Gossamer Wings (Scat Daddy)

Wayne Lordan60%1/6A P O'Brien
207680
2.0Class ↓1

Smart effort when second in the Dante at York in May but mainly used as a pacemaker since, often having hard races. Difficult to know how much ability/enthusiasm he retains.

Class Advantage

14/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par14/056/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par28/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par25/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par19/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par12/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%14/05Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 14%28/06Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%19/08Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%12/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.9%Ahead 2/4
2
8
OR 88
12/1
Back Straight silks

Back Straight Partnership

Back Straight

3yo Colt · 9-5

Sea The Moon - Hippy Hippy Shake (Danehill Dancer)

Seamie HeffernanM O'Callaghan60%
21
6.0
Tongue strap

Showed plenty in Punchestown maidens a year apart, landing the odds in a tongue strap 2 weeks ago. This much harder but he remains with potential.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/0915/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲7
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%16/09Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.9%Ahead 1/2
3
10
OR 84
20/1
Fallacy silks

Watchman Racing

Fallacy

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Blame - I Was Looking Up (Empire Maker)

Andrew Slattery0/3A Slattery
96831
4.0Going 8.0

Seemingly much improved when thrashing his 4 rivals off a mark of 72 at Gowran in June. Off since and will find this much more demanding.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/105/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a24/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par12/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/06
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲7
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%24/10Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 62%5/12Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%24/04Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%16/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%12/06
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.0%Ahead 3/4
6
12
OR 97
10/1
Manton Bay silks

MRC International

Manton Bay

3yo Colt · 9-5

Ulysses - Synergy (Victory Note)

Billy Lee60%D Marnane
282125
4.0Going 8.0

Remains steadily progressive and got off the mark for the year at Killarney last month. Beaten only by a smart prospect in the Irish Cambridgeshire the following week and produced another solid effort off 10 lb higher at the Curragh. Worth a shot at this level.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/0528/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par23/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par21/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par29/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par13/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲8
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f 90y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%16/05Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 53%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%23/07Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 94%29/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 81%13/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.2%Ahead 3/4