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13:18 · Ayr

BSB Structural Handicap Chase

3m 20yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick
OR 90
5/1
Nights In Venice silks

Legends In Disguise

Nights In Venice

10yo Gelding · 11-4

Midnight Legend - Well Disguised (Beneficial)

Murray Dodd10%−5lbD W WhillansSynergy 35
734212
9.0
Going 0Course 100

Ended a 2-year losing run when scoring over C&D in March. Backed it up with a solid second of 10 in handicap chase at Kelso (2¾m, good to soft) following month. Likely to be in the shake-up if fully tuned up on his reappearance.

Class Advantage

7/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/12 · mark par7/1222/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/12 · mark par25/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/01 · mark par13/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par2/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par2/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 100Dist: 3m 20y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%7/12Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%25/01Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%6/03Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 89%2/04
Projected finish1st of 12
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%2-578/100
4
Market Fav
OR 94
9/4
Torosay silks

Dig In Racing

Torosay

8yo Mare · 11-8

Getaway - The Toft (Kayf Tara)

Gregor Walkingshaw10%0/2−7lbL Russell & M Scudamore60%Synergy 57
727422
7.0
Going 0Course 78
Cheek pieces

Winless since April 2024 but runner-up 3 times over C&D last season, including in this contest. A likely player on her return with yard going well.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par14/041/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par30/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par13/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/01 · mark par10/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par6/03projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 78Dist: 3m 20y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 54%14/04Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 45%30/11Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%10/02Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%6/03
Projected finish2nd of 12
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
91%1-669/100
8
OR 84
9/2
Didntgotwenty silks

Mr J W Hazeldean

Didntgotwenty

7yo Gelding · 10-12

Soldier Of Fortune - Brogarais (Presenting)

Ryan Mania10%0/1M Todhunter60%Synergy 44
355212
7.0
Going 0Course 55
Cheek pieces

On the up since fitted with cheekpieces, scoring in good style at Musselburgh (2½m) in February and resuming from 7 months off with an excellent second of 9 in handicap chase at Perth (2½m, good to soft) last month. Third has gone in easily since so he rates a big player.

Class Advantage

3/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par3/101/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par1/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par15/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/02 · mark par23/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 55Dist: 3m 20y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%3/10Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%1/12Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%15/02Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%23/09
Projected finish3rd of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
82%1-669/100
1
OR 100
14/1
The Grey Venture silks

Miss Victoria Bewley

The Grey Venture

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Milan - Sagarich (Sagamix)

Jonathon Bewley10%0/3G BewleySynergy 19
451043
5.0
Going 0Course 0

Irish point winner. Improved with each of his 3 runs over hurdles, fitted with first-time cheekpieces when third of 9 in novice at Kelso (2¼m, good) 6 months ago. Much respected on his chase debut over this longer trip.

Class Advantage

3/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/034/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0420/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▼1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 9%3/03Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 67%4/04Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 75%20/04
Projected finish4th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
73%1-177/100
10
Value
OR 79
14/1
Jo Arengeot Bey Aa silks

Mr A Kerr Mr L Kerr

Jo Arengeot Bey Aa

7yo Gelding · 10-7

Polarix - Totoche Bey (Kapgarde)

D R Fox40%L Kerr70%Synergy 33
1P233P
7.0
Going 0Course 0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Belatedly opened his account under Rules at Uttoxeter (3m) in May. Placed 3 times since but pulled up at Uttoxeter (3m, good) 27 days ago on final run for Donald McCain. Bounce back needed for new yard in a headgear change.

Class Advantage

26/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/02 · mark par26/0221/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 3m 20y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 57%26/02Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%2/05Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%28/08Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%10/09
Projected finish5th of 12
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
64%5-1258/100
2
OR 99
10/1
Prince Des Fichaux silks

John Elliot & Partners

Prince Des Fichaux

9yo Gelding · 11-13

No Risk At All - Princesse Kap (Kapgarde)

Craig Nichol10%0/1Ewan Whillans60%Synergy 39
P3P45P
5.0Class ↓3
Going 0Course 33
Cheek piecesTongue strap

It's now 15 runs since his last win in 2023. Pulled up in handicap chase at Perth (31f, soft) when last seen 18 months ago. Others are preferred.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par15/0426/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/04 · mark par17/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par6/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/01 · mark par22/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/02 · mark par7/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par7/04projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼2
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 33Dist: 3m 20y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 40%15/04Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%17/10Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 81%22/02Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%7/04
Projected finish6th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
55%2-1237/100
7
OR 84
8/1
Rob Roy Macgregor silks

Mr Ken McGarrity

Rob Roy Macgregor

8yo Gelding · 10-12

Walk In The Park - Miss Baloo (Brian Boru)

P W Wadge10%0/5A M Thomson60%Synergy 48
724235
6.0
Going 0Course 70
Cheek pieces

It's now 18 runs since his last win in 2023 but in good form when last seen out in May, fifth of 13 in handicap chase at Hexham (3m, good). Can't be dismissed.

Class Advantage

1/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par1/1113/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/01 · mark par3/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/02 · mark par23/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/02 · mark par25/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 70Dist: 3m 20y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 45%1/11Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 77%3/02Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%25/03Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%2/05
Projected finish7th of 12
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
45%3-1245/100
9
OR 83
33/1
Jet Light silks

Jones/naylor And Jl Syndicate

Jet Light

7yo Gelding · 10-11

Cokoriko - Or Light (Sleeping Car)

Leah Noreci30%−7lbJames MoffattSynergy 23
4777P8
2.0
Going 0Course 43

Runner-up in an Irish point but went with very little promise over hurdles. Similarly unpromising start to his chase career after a year off at Hexham in April.

Class Advantage

19/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/112/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0111/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0213/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/04 · mark par13/04projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 43Dist: 3m 20y · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%19/11Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 40%2/01Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 45%11/02Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 46%13/04
Projected finish8th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
36%5-775/100
3
OR 95
20/1
Midnight Moonshine silks

Mr R Michael Smith

Midnight Moonshine

7yo Gelding · 11-9

Soldier Of Fortune - Miss Palm (Great Palm)

Ben Smith10%0/2−7lbR M Smith60%Synergy 20
905657
2.0
Going 0Course 0
Cheek pieces

On a long losing run and yet to fire for his new yard, seventh of 9 in handicap chase at Perth (3m, good to soft) 37 days ago.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par30/054/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par22/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par4/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par24/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par24/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲3
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 0Dist: 3m 20y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%30/05Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 71%22/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%7/09Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%24/09
Projected finish9th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
27%4-1252/100
12
OR 74
25/1
Lewa House silks

Bissett Racing

Lewa House

10yo Gelding · 10-2

Yeats - Primrose Time (Alflora)

Dominic Hislop10%0/1−7lbC Bissett80%Synergy 24
25606P
3.0
Going 0Course 46
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Poor hurdler/chaser who was pulled up at Hexham (3m, heavy) in March. First-time tongue strap is added to cheekpieces for his reappearance.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par13/0325/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par1/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/12 · mark par2/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/01 · mark par10/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par10/02projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 46Dist: 3m 20y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%13/03Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%1/11Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%2/01Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%10/02
Projected finish10th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
18%6-1169/100
6
OR 84
14/1
Jirko silks

Gemmell, Horn, Morris & Morris

Jirko

7yo Gelding · 10-12

Balko - Belle Du Luy (Saint Des Saints)

Bruce Lynn10%0/8N W AlexanderSynergy 11
2333UF
7.0
Going 0Course 59

Yet to register a victory and again let down by his jumping when fell 3 out (already held) in handicap chase at Perth (3m, good to soft) in May. Needs to get back on track.

Class Advantage

8/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par8/038/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par13/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/01 · mark par10/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/02 · mark par6/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par6/03projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 59Dist: 3m 20y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%8/03Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 90%1/12Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%10/02Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 0%6/03
Projected finish11th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
9%11-1287/100
11
OR 74
12/1
Cave Hill silks

Stephen Sinclair & Ian Duncan

Cave Hill

7yo Gelding · 10-2

Universal - Belfast Central (Jamesmead)

Sean Quinlan0/1I A Duncan80%Synergy 50
369394
4.0
Going 0Course 62
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Gained a first chasing win at Hexham last May and back to form with fourth of 13 there (2½m, good) 6 months ago. Possibilities.

Class Advantage

5/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/12 · mark par5/122/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/01 · mark par3/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/02 · mark par19/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/02 · mark par31/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par2/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par2/05projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going · 0Course · 62Dist: 3m 20y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%5/12Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 38%3/02Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 11%31/03Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%2/05
Projected finish12th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%6-1264/100