19:50 · Thistledown

Race 7 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
3
OR 48
7/2
Rich On The River silks

Carly Hamel

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Rivers Run Deep - Doll Dreams (Henny Hughes)

Jason Simpson60%1/1Michelle Winters60%
421751
7.0

Class Advantage

23/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par23/1025/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/11 · mark par11/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/12 · mark par28/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par24/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par29/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength89%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 63%23/10Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%11/12Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%24/06Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%29/07
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 2/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 55
8/1
Rascal Flash silks

Marion F Gorham Irrevocable Trust

3yo Gelding · 8-5

Drill - Zarlanz (Harlan's Holiday)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%1/3Robert Gorham60%
346231
8.0Going 9.0

Class Advantage

2/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par2/0429/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par21/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par12/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength71%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%2/04Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 29%10/06Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 60%21/07Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%12/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.6%Ahead 1/4
3
2
OR 79
2/1
Tyson's Lil' Star silks

Shanyfelt Stables, Inc

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Twinspired - Fabled Star (Offlee Wild)

Luis Gonzalez60%2/10Valerie Shanyfelt60%
232622
7.0

Class Advantage

13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par13/053/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par10/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 88%13/05Pos 3 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 3 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 89%24/06Pos 6 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 6 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%10/08Pos 2 · SP 3/10 | Expected: 98%Pos 2 · SP 3/10 | Actual: 67%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -31.2%Ahead 0/4
1
Market Fav4
OR 63
9/5
Sound City silks

American Thoroughbred Investors, Llc, Blazing Meadows Farm, Llc And Hamm, Shane

3yo Gelding · 8-7

National Flag - Music And Lyrics (Fed Biz)

Luis Rivera60%Timothy Hamm60%
542321
7.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

18/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/12 · mark par18/1229/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par24/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par2/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move3
Strength99%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 70%18/12Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%24/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%29/07Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%2/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.8%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 62
12/1
Vertisalute silks

Rcl Racing Stable

5yo Mare · 8-4

Vertiformer - Prayer Salute (Meadow Prayer)

T Houghton0/4Loren Huepenbecker
344348
5.0

Class Advantage

10/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par10/1022/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par1/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par25/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%10/10Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%1/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%13/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%25/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.3%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 63
5/1
Tough Cat silks

Maccabee Farm Llc

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Tough It Up - Barn Cat (Bluegrass Cat)

Gerardo Corrales60%Joseph Poole
223214
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

28/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/10 · mark par28/1026/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%28/10Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%26/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -46.8%Ahead 0/2