16:45 · Churchill Downs

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming

6f 110y2YO onlyDIRT12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Market Fav5
OR 62
3/1
Lookism silks

Four Pillars Holdings, Llc And Caraway Racing, Llc

2yo Gelding · 8-7

Speaker's Corner - She Persisted (Pioneerof The Nile)

Axel ConcepcionCaio Caramori
257
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

19/07 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a19/0721/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/089/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%19/07Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%21/08Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%9/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.8%Ahead 2/3
5
2
OR 63
12/1
No Autographs silks

Jd Thoroughbreds Llc And Davis, Joey Keith

2yo Gelding · 8-7

Global Campaign - Rachel Wall (Blame)

Rafael Bejarano0/1Chris Hartman
7
2.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

9/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 45%9/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +45.5%Ahead 1/1
10
4
6/1
J'accuse silks

Cardinal Farm, Llc

2yo Colt · 8-7

Blame - Oaks Gold (Munnings)

Cristian Torres60%Helen Pitts
No form3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish3rd of 1282% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength68%
7
6
9/2
Harborcoat silks

Haberman, Aaron And Haberman, Victoria

2yo Colt · 8-7

Goldencents - Catwings (Cupid)

Jose Ortiz70%Kinnon Larose
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish4th of 1273% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength76%
12
Top Pick1
OR 69
8/1
Tiz General silks

Cm Thoroughbreds

2yo Gelding · 8-7

Rock Your World - Tiz Nena (Tiznow)

Luis Fuenmayor−7lbCarlos Munoz
4343
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

17/05 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a17/0519/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/079/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/0828/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move2
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%17/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%19/07Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%9/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%28/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.5%Ahead 3/4
6
8
OR 32
15/1
Army Run silks

Calumet Farm

2yo Colt · 8-7

Army Mule - Gamblers Rose (Pulpit)

Emmanuel Esquivel60%Mark Simms
99
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

9/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/085/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move3
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%9/08Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -35.5%Ahead 0/2
11
3
OR 68
10/1
Denial silks

Brittany Vanden Berg

2yo Filly · 8-4

Constitution - Entreat (Speightstown)

Christopher Emigh60%0/1Brittany Vanden
9
2.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

29/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 11%29/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.2%Ahead 0/1
4
9
OR 77
6/1
Coldspring silks

Joseph Sutton

2yo Colt · 8-7

Corniche - Flower Party (Duke Of Marmalade)

Francisco Arrieta0/1Eddie Kenneally
5
2.0

Class Advantage

23/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/08
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength34%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 64%23/08
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.4%Ahead 0/1
1
12
OR 35
10/1
Lords Prayer silks

Dreamfields, Inc , Sweet Carolina Racing And Bourbon, Llc And Stout, Brandon

2yo Colt · 8-7

Known Agenda - Faithful Prayer (With Distinction)

Tyler GaffalioneJ Ennis
00
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

1/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/0825/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength75%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 9%1/08Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%25/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.6%Ahead 1/2
2
7
20/1
Morrilton silks

Shortleaf Stable, Inc

2yo Gelding · 8-7

Mo Donegal - Endless Chatter (First Samurai)

Luke Hoskins60%−7lbJohn Ortiz
No form3.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish10th of 1218% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
3
10
OR 43
30/1
Faraz silks

Bryan Carney

2yo Gelding · 8-7

Cross Traffic - Carrie (Gone Astray)

Danilo Rave GrisalesAndres Cambray
77
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

25/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/07
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%25/07
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1
8
11
OR 36
20/1
Gimmeatreat silks

Laura Staley

2yo Gelding · 8-7

Demarchelier - Picture Trail (Storm Boot)

Brian Jr HernandezMarcelino Salas
0
2.0

Class Advantage

21/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength24%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%21/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1