13:04 · Ffos Las

Weatherbys nhstallions.co.uk Nursery

6fGoing TBCClass 52YO onlyTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 75
5/4
Harry's Pop silks

Create A Display N Bradley 6 & D Cun

2yo Gelding · 9-9

Harry Angel - Poppy Jag (Kodiac)

J Mitchell60%Dylan Cunha
404411
7.0Class ↓3

Well backed and took advantage of the drop in grade when winning 8-runner nursery at Catterick last month and improved on that when following up at Brighton (6f) 6 days later. 4 lb rise fair and looks sure to go well again.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/061/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a3/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 63%12/06Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 11 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 73%23/07Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%23/08
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.9%Ahead 4/4
6
Value2
OR 68
7/1
Beechwood Glory silks

Mr G A Moore

2yo Colt · 9-2

Cotai Glory - Beechwood Izzy (Dandy Man)

C J Whiteley60%−5lbJ Butler
5323
6.0Going 9.0

Lightly-raced maiden who matched previous form when creditable third of 6 in maiden at Chepstow (6f, soft) 21 days ago. Goes handicapping now and can't be ruled out.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/0624/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/078/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a8/0831/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%25/06Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 78%24/07Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 88%8/08Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.3%Ahead 2/4
5
4
OR 69
9/2
Maximus Meridius silks

AMO Racing Limited & Giselle De Aguiar

2yo Gelding · 9-3

Persian Force - Ti Amo Sempre (Galileo Gold)

Toby Moore60%−7lbD Loughnane
2343
6.0

Found a little improvement when third on nursery debut at Chepstow (5f) last month and should appreciate the return to this longer trip. Respected.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0617/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0728/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par28/0729/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%20/06Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%17/07Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%28/07Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 60%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.4%Ahead 2/4
4
5
OR 69
8/1
Chief Minister silks

J Allison & T Cartwright

2yo Colt · 9-3

Mattmu - Secretarial (Kingman)

Callum Hutchinson60%0/1Eve Johnson Houghton80%
958
3.0Class ↓3

Just fair form at best thus far, latest when eighth of 18 in valuable sales race at Newmarket (6f, good, 125/1) 30 days ago. May do better on handicap debut.

Class Advantage

18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/075/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0822/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength81%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%18/07Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%5/08Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 59%22/08
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.3%Ahead 3/3
3
3
OR 70
3/1
Resemblance silks

Highclere Tbred Racing & Ballylinch St

2yo Filly · 9-4

Bayside Boy - Rosebride (Mayson)

Oisin Murphy70%M L W Bell80%
027
4.0Class ↓3

Underperformed when last seen at Chepstow in June but had posted fair second at Haydock (6f) previously and must enter calculations on handicap debut here.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0522/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/056/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength80%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 9%8/05Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 88%22/05Pos 7 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 7 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 25%6/06
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 1/3