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20:54 · Churchill Downs

Race 9 - Starter Allowance

1m 110y3YO plusDIRT10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 99
5/2
Funny Uncle silks

Epona Racing Stable And Toga Party Racing Stable

Funny Uncle

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Distorted Humor - Night Owl (Animal Kingdom)

Jose Ortiz70%1/3Joe Sharp
442322
7.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

21/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/0224/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par21/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par22/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a22/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%21/02Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%21/05Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 90%26/06Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%22/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 4/4
7
Value2
OR 91
12/1
Consolidated silks

Mark Grier

Consolidated

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Unified - Causeway Carolyn (Giant's Causeway)

Luan Machado2/3Arnaud Delacour60%
914115
7.0

Class Advantage

21/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par21/1217/01 · C9 · finish vs mark above17/01 · mark par13/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par18/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par9/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 11%21/12Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%13/02Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%9/05Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%26/06
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.6%Ahead 3/4
8
6
OR 97
7/2
Spirit Of A Walkon silks

Albaugh Family Stables Llc

Spirit Of A Walkon

3yo Colt · 8-6

Uncle Mo - Delta's Kingdom (Animal Kingdom)

Brian Jr HernandezDale Romans
612362
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

5/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par5/0323/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par17/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par5/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par7/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%5/03Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%17/05Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%26/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%7/08
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.2%Ahead 1/4
5
5
OR 65
30/1
Large Risk silks

Contreras Stable, Inc And Desperado Racing Llc

Large Risk

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Volatile - Anabranch (Congaree)

Evin Roman60%Cipriano Contreras60%
81658
4.0

Class Advantage

28/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/099/11 · C9 · finish vs mark above9/11 · mark par3/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par8/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par26/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par26/02projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 13%28/09Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%9/11Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 38%3/01Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%8/02Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%26/02
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.0%Ahead 4/4
6
3
OR 101
8/1
Lolo Le Plume silks

Bach, Robert A , Bernal, Eduardo And Lambert, Jeffrey

Lolo Le Plume

4yo Filly · 8-7

Instilled Regard - Le Plume (Smart Strike)

Luis SaezRobert Hess
254337
6.0Class ↓6Going 8.0

Class Advantage

2/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/0830/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par13/10 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/10 · mark par9/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/11 · mark par10/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/01 · mark par26/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par26/02projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%2/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 40%13/10Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%10/01Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%26/02
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -43.8%Ahead 0/4
3
8
OR 95
9/2
South Bend Tom silks

Boyan, Jr , Thomas C And Stall, Jr , Albert M

South Bend Tom

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Liam's Map - Glycine (Pulpit)

Axel Concepcion0/1Albert Stall60%
174243
6.0

Class Advantage

2/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above2/11 · mark par2/1127/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/12 · mark par29/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par5/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par26/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par19/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%2/11Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%29/04Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%26/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%19/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.0%Ahead 2/4
1
7
OR 88
8/1
Feral silks

Blackout Racing Stables And Patricia's Hope, Llc

Feral

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Volatile - Love This Kitty (Not For Love)

Ben Curtis1/1Michael Tomlinson60%
235911
6.0

Class Advantage

14/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par14/0310/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par29/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par21/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par12/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 83%14/03Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%29/04Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%12/07Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%21/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.8%Ahead 2/4
10
4
OR 96
6/1
Rugged Love silks

Sugar Mill Stables

Rugged Love

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Cupid - Princess Addy (Quality Road)

Tyler Gaffalione60%1/2Brendan Walsh60%
317
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

24/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0521/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/067/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%24/05Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%21/06Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%7/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.2%Ahead 1/3
9
9
OR 82
15/1
Jets Rio silks

Southern Springs Stables (ron Moquett) And Anita Ebert Racing, Llc

Jets Rio

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Candy Ride - Jeweled Princess (Cairo Prince)

Rafael Bejarano60%0/1R Moquett
885433
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/12 · mark par21/123/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par26/02 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par14/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 30%21/12Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%26/02Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%11/07Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%14/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 2/4
2
10
OR 84
20/1
Bigtimetimmyjim silks

Edmundson, Ronnie And Meeks, Rip

Bigtimetimmyjim

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Girvin - Miss Bosconovitch (Sky Mesa)

Gerardo Corrales0/1Lonnie Briley60%
0410
3.0

Class Advantage

31/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/0512/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/0717/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/0830/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%31/05Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 57%12/07Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 9%30/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.7%Ahead 3/4