15:55 · Curragh

Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Nursery Handicap

7fGoing TBC2YO onlyTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 66
15/8
Exchange Student silks

Craig Bernick

2yo Filly · 8-12

Extreme Choice - Sweet Strike (Smart Strike)

Julian Pietropaolo60%1/1−7lbJ A Stack
70041
7.0

Free-going filly who was much improved to open her account in 6-runner nursery over C&D (good to soft, 9/1) last time by ½-length from Luca Brillante from 6 lb out of the weights. Needs more to follow up.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/0528/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 14%31/05Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 17%28/06Pos 15 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 18%22/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 73%5/08Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.0%Ahead 4/4
3
2
OR 76
3/1
Romance silks

Mrs E Halley

2yo Filly · 9-8

Kendargent - Romance Story (New Approach)

Andrew Slattery60%1/2J Halley60%
50612
6.0
Tongue strap

Improved effort with a tongue tie added when winning 10-runner event on nursery debut at Down Royal at the beginning of this month. Backed up that effort when runner-up at Listowel 5 days ago. Can go well again.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0531/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 56%11/05Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 36%31/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 62%20/08Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%4/09Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%22/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.9%Ahead 4/4
10
4
OR 65
4/1
Two Brigade silks

Mrs M D O'Callaghan

2yo Colt · 8-11

Invincible Army - Faithful Duchess (Bachelor Duke)

Reese Holohan60%0/1−7lbM O'Callaghan60%
856862
4.0
Cheek pieces

With the headgear discarded, 10/1, much improved second of 13 in nursery at Naas (1m, good to soft) 10 days ago, nearest finish. Big danger if repeating that but it's a concern that the cheekpieces are quickly refitted.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/049/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%3/04Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%3/07Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%27/08Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 92%17/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.5%Ahead 2/4
7
8
OR 67
20/1
Matavai Bay silks

Atomic Racing

2yo Filly · 8-13

Dandy Man - Westfalica (Areion)

Chris Hayes60%Kevin Coleman
065
2.0

Finished in mid-field on last 2 of 3 starts in maidens, not given a hard time of things. May do better now handicapping.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/075/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0818/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%25/07Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%5/08Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 64%18/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.9%Ahead 2/3
6
6
OR 69
50/1
Closefield Beau silks

Closefield Syndicate

2yo Gelding · 9-1

Nando Parrado - Dawaa (Tamayuz)

Ben Coen70%Daniel McLoughlin60%
078
2.0

No better than mid-division in 3 maidens, catching the eye at Gowran last month with a view to taking this step into nurseries. One to note in the market.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0612/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/081/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%19/06Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 60%12/08Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 50%1/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +45.0%Ahead 3/3
4
3
OR 75
25/1
Margot Mae silks

Alpha Racing

2yo Filly · 9-7

Starspangledbanner - Moody Blue (Invincible Spirit)

Scott McCullagh0/1Mrs J Harrington80%
63755
3.0
Cheek pieces

Close third at Leopardstown second time up, splitting a now-useful Ballydoyle pair, but hasn't come close to reproducing that since. Hard to make a case for at present.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/044/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par22/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%25/04Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%4/06Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%9/07Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%29/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%22/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.8%Ahead 1/4
2
9
OR 77
11/1
Moon Sand silks

Barry Fowler

2yo Colt · 9-9

Sea The Moon - Laylana (Footstepsinthesand)

J M Sheridan60%0/1J P O'Brien
996
2.0

Went off big prices in 3 maidens and duly shaped as if being brought along with handicaps in mind. Remains open to improvement and is worth noting should the market speak in his favour now switched to nurseries.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/0829/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/0817/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 11%16/08Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%29/08Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 55%17/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.0%Ahead 3/3
1
5
OR 80
10/1
Our Boy Bailey silks

Woodridge Stables Limited

2yo Gelding · 9-12

Bayside Boy - Zaafran (Singspiel)

Keithen Kennedy−5lbMrs J Harrington60%
2074
4.0

Showed plenty to work on first time up when second in maiden at Roscommon (7.5f) in May. Unsuited by the drop back to 6f in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot next start but has disappointed both starts since. Needs a return to that debut form.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0517/06 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a17/0627/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/0717/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a17/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%11/05Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 58%17/06Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 14%27/07Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 73%17/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.5%Ahead 3/4
9
7
OR 66
14/1
Scarlet Dream silks

Adrian McGuinness

2yo Filly · 8-12

Ardad - True Scarlet (Make Believe)

Adam Caffrey0/2A McGuinness
7945
2.0

Ran to a modest level in maidens whilst catching the eye with a view to handicapping, though failed to improve switched to nurseries at Fairyhouse last week, merely closing up late. Will appreciate the return to this longer trip but needs more to feature.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0823/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/082/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0921/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 54%15/08Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 47%23/08Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%2/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%21/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.2%Ahead 4/4
5
11
OR 70
14/1
Gabby Hayes silks

Noel Meade Racing Ltd

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Space Traveller - Poker Hospital (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Colin KeaneN Meade
966
2.0

Thrice-raced maiden who's been brought along steadily. Interesting with Keane in the saddle and betting probably best guide now handicapping.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0818/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a18/084/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 11%2/08Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%18/08Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 62%4/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.7%Ahead 3/3
12
12
OR 53
50/1
Somethingaboutlove silks

N Hayes

2yo Filly · 8-7

Soldier's Call - Le Freak (Born To Sea)

Rory Cleary0/3C W J Farrell
684
3.0

Has looked limited in 3 starts to date and is hard to make a case for from 8 lb out of the weights on handicap bow.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/095/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/0921/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 29%2/09Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 42%5/09Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%21/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.7%Ahead 3/3
11
10
OR 62
25/1
Supreme Act silks

Premier Spirit Again Syndicate

2yo Gelding · 8-8

Supremacy - Rosa Albertine (Camelot)

Jimmy Dalton0/2−7lbA Slattery70%
8708
2.0
1st Visor +2

Gelded and showed a bit more than previously when eighth of 13 on nursery debut at Naas (1m, good to soft) 10 days ago. However, he looks to be on a stiff mark and headgear is now added.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/063/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0731/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/0717/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%19/06Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%3/07Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 29%31/07Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 42%17/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.0%Ahead 4/4