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13:48 · Musselburgh

Invades Day Party Handicap

7f 15yGoing TBCClass 64YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 59
3/1
Filey Beach silks

Mr C Ward & Mr B Kirby

Filey Beach

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Profitable - Pilates (Shamardal)

J P Sullivan60%3/10Mrs R Carr60%
374451
7.0

Gained a third win of the season in 11-runner handicap at Catterick (7f, good) 22 days ago. Up 3 lb but this C&D scorer is weighted to go close again.

Class Advantage

2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par2/068/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 78%2/06Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%25/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 56%29/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.7%Ahead 2/4
6
Value2
OR 55
5/1
Monhammer silks

The Hon Miss Heather Galbraith

Monhammer

8yo Gelding · 9-5

Awtaad - Soviet Terms (Soviet Star)

C Lee70%Miss L A Perratt
461163
7.0

Hold-up performer. Notched a fourth C&D success when completing a double last month. Posted another good C&D effort with third of 10 in handicap 18 days ago. A likely player off the same mark.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/0713/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 70%5/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%31/07Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 44%25/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%12/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.1%Ahead 3/4
8
3
OR 54
7/1
Kelpie Grey silks

Mr Paul Stewart

Kelpie Grey

6yo Gelding · 9-4

Havana Grey - Malelane (Prince Sabo)

P Mulrennan60%3/22J S Goldie60%
807732
7.0Class ↓4
Visor

Not the force of old and further decline this year, though at least fared better than for a while when third of 11 at Ayr (1m, soft) 12 days ago. Needs to build on it. Engaged 4.08 Ayr Tuesday.

Class Advantage

8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/0810/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below10/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par29/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par29/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 42%8/08Pos 11 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 11 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%2/09Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 54%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%18/09Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 90%29/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.5%Ahead 2/4
9
4
OR 52
5/1
Misemerald silks

Mrs J Porter

Misemerald

5yo Mare · 9-2

Zoffany - Rocaverde (Rock Of Gibraltar)

K Stott70%1/2P A Kirby60%
342313
8.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Gained a deserved first success of 2026 over 1m here in August. Backed it up with a solid third of 11 in handicap at Thirsk (1m, good) 4 days later. Must enter calculations after a break.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/0716/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 75%4/07Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 83%31/07Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%24/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%28/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.4%Ahead 1/4
3
9
OR 58
6/1
Pallas Lord silks

Mr D W Whillans

Pallas Lord

8yo Gelding · 9-8

Dandy Man - Nutshell (Dubai Destination)

Jason Hart60%5/18D W Whillans60%
106374
5.0

Returned to winning ways at Newcastle in February but form has been mixed since, one of better efforts when fourth of 10 in handicap at Carlisle (7f, good to soft) in June. Needs to hit the ground running after 114 days off.

Class Advantage

24/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par24/0212/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below12/03 · mark par17/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/03 · mark par15/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%24/02Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%17/03Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%29/05Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%8/06
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.7%Ahead 2/4
7
5
OR 54
25/1
Keep Me Stable silks

The Hon Miss Heather Galbraith

Keep Me Stable

6yo Mare · 9-4

Galileo Gold - Sketching (Nathaniel)

Mark Winn0/1Miss L A Perratt
823770
4.0Class ↓4

Completed a hat-trick at Musselburgh (2 over C&D) last summer. Arrives well below par though, beating just one in handicap at Ayr (7f, soft) 13 days ago. Has it to prove at present.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/077/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%20/07Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%10/08Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%12/09Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 8%17/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.9%Ahead 1/4
10
10
OR 48
8/1
Due Respect silks

Bissett Racing

Due Respect

4yo Filly · 8-12

Soldier's Call - Due Care (Due Diligence)

Rhys Elliott60%1/11−5lbC Bissett60%
895283
5.0
Visor

Winless in 2026 and didn't prove easy to catch right for Gary Rutherford. Posted a respectable third of 8 for her new yard in handicap here (1m, good to firm) 18 days ago. Needs to back it up now.

Class Advantage

13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/0729/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%13/07Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%4/08Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 42%24/08Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 71%12/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.7%Ahead 3/4
2
7
OR 58
14/1
Jkr Cobbler silks

Lycett Racing Ltd

Jkr Cobbler

7yo Gelding · 9-8

Awtaad - Lady Vyrnwy (Bertolini)

A Mullen70%5/29I Jardine60%
734149
5.0

Notched a fifth success at Ayr (7f) in July. Ran respectably when fourth next time but a below-par ninth of 14 again back there (7f, soft) 13 days ago. Needs a bit more here.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par19/058/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par13/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%19/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 73%15/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 63%13/07Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%17/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.1%Ahead 1/4
5
6
OR 56
16/1
Rwenearlytheredad silks

Mr J N Blackburn

Rwenearlytheredad

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Havana Grey - King's Guest (King's Best)

Zak Wheatley60%5/22D Carroll80%
868650
3.0

Winless since last May. Lightly raced this season and off 3 months before a well-held fifteenth of 19 in handicap at Redcar (1m, good) 3 weeks ago. Needs to take a big step forward.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/0924/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par4/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par20/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 30%16/09Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 22%4/10Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%8/06Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 15 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 22%9/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.9%Ahead 1/4
11
11
OR 48
16/1
Concert Boy silks

Making Headway Racing And K Scott

Concert Boy

6yo Gelding · 8-12

Kodiac - Perfect Fun (Marju)

S H James70%0/13K Scott
408706
3.0

Yet to score in 2026 and arrives under a cloud so best watched at present.

Class Advantage

27/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/038/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par21/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par10/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%27/03Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 13%22/06Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 8%21/07Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 44%10/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.2%Ahead 3/4
4
8
OR 57
20/1
Escape Act silks

Mrs Jean McGregor

Escape Act

5yo Gelding · 9-7

Mehmas - Off Stage (Danehill Dancer)

Greg Fairley70%Mrs J C McGregor
460003
4.0

Fair 7f winner for David Simcock in July 2024. Bounced back to form on final start for Richard O'Brien when third at Tipperary (9f) in July 2025. Absent since though so has his fitness to prove for new handler on comeback run.

Class Advantage

29/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par29/0917/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par16/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/03 · mark par23/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par25/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par2/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par2/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 15y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%29/09Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 35%16/03Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 7%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%25/04Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 87%2/07
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.2%Ahead 3/4