12:50 · Ascot

BetMGM Rous Stakes (Listed)

5fGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 110
11/4
Tuco Salamanca silks

Pompey Ventures 5

4yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 3

Belardo - Espoir Et Bonheur (Dansili)

Billy Loughnane70%2/3Ollie Sangster
161012
8.0
Tongue strap

Had done most of his winning on all-weather prior to a career-best success in a C&D handicap on Shergar Cup Day in August, settling things with a fine turn of foot on first start over 5f. Put up another personal best when second of 24 in Ayr Gold Cup since and sets the standard.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par28/0313/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par8/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par19/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%28/03Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 76%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 96%19/09
Projected finish1st of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-190/100
7
2
OR 106
7/2
Shagraan silks

J & A Young (Racing) Limited

5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 2

Sioux Nation - Annie Fior (Finsceal Fior)

K Shoemark60%1/1C G Cox60%
130072
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓1
Cheek pieces

Dual listed winner last season for Michael Appleby, including in this corresponding event. Went backwards from a sound start for current yard but bounced right back to his best in first-time cheekpieces when close third in Group 3 at Newbury latest. Should go well again if headgear has same effect.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/102/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par23/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par4/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par19/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%4/10Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 85%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 9%23/05Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%4/07Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%19/09
Projected finish2nd of 11
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
90%1-947/100
6
5
OR 107
15/2
Regional silks

Future Champions Racing Regional

8yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 4

Territories - Favulusa (Dansili)

C Lee70%E Bethell60%
493064
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Enthusiastic sort who is not the fore of old (2023 Sprint Cup winner) but again showed his effectiveness fresh when third of 13 in Group 2 Minster Stakes at York in May. Hasn't quite reproduced that in 3 subsequent outings but has frame claims once again.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par10/0830/08 · C1 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par13/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par20/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par9/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par6/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%10/08Pos 9 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 9 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 83%13/05Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 6 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 58%9/08Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%6/09
Projected finish3rd of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
80%1-1039/100
9
4
OR 104
7/1
Fluorescence silks

Sigsworth Partners

4yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 8

Twilight Son - Azhar (Exceed And Excel)

D Tudhope60%1/2E Bethell
493141
7.0Going 8.0

Has made excellent strides forward this season, relishing every ingredient of a strongly-run extended 5f on ground softer than good when routing her 13 rivals in an Ayr listed event 15 days ago. Has solid each-way claims If reproducing that back under less testing conditions.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C1 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/0610/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par16/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par18/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 79%20/06Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%1/08Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 73%5/09Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%18/09
Projected finish4th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
70%1-855/100
1
10
OR 102
8/1
Air Force One silks

Bond Thoroughbred Limited

5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 1

Starspangledbanner - Great Dame (Dandy Man)

P J McDonald2/13G R Oldroyd60%
533181
7.0Going 8.0
Visor

Has a most admirable record this season, scoring at the Ebor Meeting in August and producing another career best resuming winning ways in the Portland Handicap at Doncaster (5.6f, good) 3 weeks ago. Well worth a shot at this level.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/0526/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 73%23/05Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 90%25/07Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 63%22/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%12/09
Projected finish5th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
60%1-667/100
2
3
OR 105
16/1
Aramram silks

Mr Ziad A Galadari

5yo Horse · 9-3 · Draw 10

Blue Point - Queen's Pearl (Exceed And Excel)

S M Levey70%1/10R Hannon80%
250560
3.0Class ↓1

Smart course winner who shaped well in the Great St Wilfred Handicap at Ripon in August, faring best of the 4 that explored the far side. Flying too high in the Sprint Cup next time but run best excused in Ayr Gold Cup latest given the ground and the trouble he met.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par16/0413/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par20/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par15/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par5/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par19/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%16/04Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 15 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 18%20/06Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%5/09Pos 18 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 26%19/09
Projected finish6th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
50%7-1172/100
4
6
OR 97
25/1
King Of Light silks

TJE Racing

4yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 9

Mehmas - On The Stage (Swiss Spirit)

Lewis Edmunds60%S C Williams60%
786051
5.0

Proved at least as good as ever when winning 5f Haydock handicap for second year running last week, albeit having a positional advantage towards the stand rail. Has more on his plate back up in grade.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/071/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par10/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par26/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above26/09 · mark par26/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%25/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%10/08Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 14 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 32%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 80%12/09Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%26/09
Projected finish7th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
40%3-1147/100
5
7
OR 112
12/1
Lifeplan silks

Martin Tedham & Wasdell Properties Ltd

3yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 11

Kodi Bear - A Taad Moody (Awtaad)

Zak Wheatley60%2/4D Carroll70%
1130
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓1
1st Blinkers +3

Looked an exciting prospect when making it 2-2 in the Gimcrack at York last summer. Suffered a couple of setbacks in the off-season prior to shaping encouragingly at Chester (6f) on reappearance. Flying too high over a trip too far at York latest and this is more suitable in first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a25/0722/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/082/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/0822/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%25/07Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%2/08Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 23%22/08
Projected finish8th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
30%4-674/100
3
8
OR 99
25/1
Baker Blue silks

Martians Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 6

Ardad - Divinity (Dutch Art)

P J Dobbs60%0/1Dylan Cunha
026341
6.0Going 8.0

Useful and reliable sprinter who produced a career best when making all in 10-runner handicap at Chester (5f, soft) 22 days ago. However, will likely find it much harder to pull off those tactics back at this level, particularly given the demands of this track.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par19/0617/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par30/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par16/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par11/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 22 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 19%19/06Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 71%30/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%19/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%11/09
Projected finish9th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
20%1-1039/100
10
9
OR 104
7/1
First Instinct silks

Dunchurch Lodge Stud Company

4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 5

Bated Breath - Proportional (Beat Hollow)

Harry Davies60%W J Haggas
090255
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓1

Had cut little ice when faced with quite stiff tasks over 5f on her first 2 starts this season and bounced back to something like her best when second of 13 in the Summer Stakes at York (6f) in July. Underperformed at Naas next time but wasn't disgraced in 5f Group 3 at Newbury latest.

Class Advantage

5/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/10 · mark par5/102/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par10/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par23/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par19/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%5/10Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 22 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 16%16/06Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 5 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 43%23/08Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 60%19/09
Projected finish10th of 11
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
10%1-947/100
11
11
OR 102
16/1
Heavenly Heather silks

Mr S Rain

5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 7

Shamardal - Right Direction (Cape Cross)

Barry McHugh70%1/10Miss Tracy Waggott
426009
2.0Class ↓1

Seemed to excel herself when sixth of 26 in Group 1 King Charles III at the Royal Meeting (5f) in June. Showed that to be no fluke when mid-field in the Nunthorpe at York 2 starts later and shaped as if still in good form when 7 lengths ninth of 14 to Fluorescence in Ayr listed race since.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par4/0414/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par16/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par11/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par21/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par18/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 77%4/04Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 95%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 80%16/06Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 8%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 47%21/08Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%18/09
Projected finish11th of 11
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%2-1139/100