14:00 · Ascot

John Guest Racing Bengough Stakes (Group 3)

6fGoing TBCClass 13YO plusTURF12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Top Pick1
OR 112
7/2
Prince Of India silks

Walter Moraes & Renato Bruni

4yo Colt · 9-4 · Draw 4

Wootton Bassett - Bright Eyed (Galileo)

P J Dobbs60%1/3M Botti70%
024621
8.0Going 10.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Won 4 times over 6f/7f last year and back on the scoreboard down in grade with a dominant performance in 7-runner listed event at Newmarket (6f) 6 weeks ago. Must enter calculations back at a higher level.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par16/0425/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par23/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par11/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par15/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par22/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 31%16/04Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 92%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%23/05Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 88%15/08Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish1st of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
100%1-287/100
8
Market Fav2
OR 117
9/4
Division silks

Wathnan Racing

3yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 2

Kingman - Pepita (Sir Prancealot)

D Tudhope60%W J Haggas
532352
7.0Going 10.0

Completed hat-trick in listed company at York last October. Yet to win this season but has raised his game considerably, shaping well in going down narrowly in Prix Maurice de Gheest at Deauville (6.5f, good to firm) on most recent outing. Big player back down in grade.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C2 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par18/101/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par23/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par11/07 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par9/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%18/10Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 83%23/05Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%11/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%9/08
Projected finish2nd of 12
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
91%1-287/100
1
5
OR 114
8/1
Elmonjed silks

Shadwell Estate Company Ltd

5yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 10

Blue Point - Naafer (Oasis Dream)

Harry Davies60%W J Haggas70%
021914
6.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Resumed his progress to some tune with his reappearance behind him quickly refitted with usual cheekpieces/tongue strap combination when landing Group 2 Minster Stakes at York in May, albeit with a big positional advantage. Caught further back than ideal in Group 3 at Deauville sole start since.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par2/0822/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par7/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par16/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par13/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par4/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 19 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 19 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 31%2/08Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%7/09Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%13/05Pos 4 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 57%4/07
Projected finish3rd of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
82%1-858/100
7
7
OR 102
12/1
Stratusnine silks

Stratus9 Consulting Limited

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 11

Far Above - Teide Lady (Nashwan)

Jason Watson70%1/2H Palmer80%
312666
3.0Going 10.0

Has developed into a smart handicapper, narrowly denied a double in the Stewards' Cup. Has finished sixth in 3 top-end handicaps since, including the Ayr Gold Cup (6f, heavy) latest and no surprise to see him give another good account on his first try in a Group 3.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/0625/07 · C2 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par19/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par19/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%27/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 96%1/08Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 74%22/08Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 78%19/09
Projected finish4th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
73%1-858/100
9
3
OR 103
4/1
Hidden Force silks

Godolphin

3yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 12

Frankel - Winter Lightning (Shamardal)

Billy Loughnane70%C Appleby60%
113
7.0Going 8.0

Frankel colt who made it 2 wins from as many starts on all-weather in 1m conditions event at Kempton in February. Seemed unsuited by the track switched to turf when third in the Craven Stakes at Newmarket (1m) when last seen in April and remains open to improvement back from a breathing operation.

Class Advantage

1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a1/1225/02 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a25/0216/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par16/04projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%1/12Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 1/4 | Actual: 100%25/02Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 50%16/04
Projected finish5th of 12
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
64%7-1259/100
11
4
OR 107
14/1
Sayidah Dariyan silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

4yo Filly · 9-1 · Draw 3

Dariyan - Tencaratrubieslace (Siyouni)

C Lee70%R Hughes80%
703924
5.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Returned to her smart best when second in Oak Tree Stakes at Goodwood in July but wasn't in the same form when making only late gains at Kentucky Downs (6.5f, firm) last time. Bounce back required in first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/086/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par2/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par20/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par29/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par29/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 63%22/08Pos 16 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 6%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%2/05Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 92%29/07Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%29/08
Projected finish6th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
55%6-1264/100
4
8
OR 106
20/1
James's Delight silks

Paul & Clare Rooney

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 1

Invincible Army - Heavens Peak (Pivotal)

George Wood60%C G Cox
006334
5.0Going 8.0

Won the Group 2 Greenlands at the Curragh last year and creditable third in that race and a Group 3 there this summer. Underperformed in the Sprint Cup at Haydock latest but shouldn't be underestimated back down in grade.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/0918/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par28/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par23/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par9/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par5/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 17 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%6/09Pos 15 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 55%28/03Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%9/08Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 57%5/09
Projected finish7th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
45%2-1237/100
12
6
OR 101
33/1
Fitzella silks

Ms A Quinn

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 9

Too Darn Hot - Shamandar (Exceed And Excel)

S M Levey70%H Palmer80%
565050
3.0

Group 3 winner as a juvenile but has proven difficult to place this season and looks up against it once more.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par15/042/05 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par10/07 · C1 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par2/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par21/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 64%15/04Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 81%19/06Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%2/08Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%21/08
Projected finish8th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
36%6-1264/100
3
9
OR 108
20/1
Diligent Harry silks

The Dilinquents

8yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 6

Due Diligence - Harryana To (Compton Place)

Callum Shepherd70%C G Cox60%
114483
5.0
Cheek pieces

Won back-to-back listed races at Lingfield in February. Translated that form to turf with good in-frame efforts in the Abernant Stakes and the Minster Stakes and quickly bounced back from a lesser effort when third in Group 3 at Newbury (5f) a fortnight ago. This asks for a bit more, though.

Class Advantage

31/01 · C1 · finish vs mark above31/01 · mark par31/0121/02 · C1 · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par16/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par13/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par27/06 · C1 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par19/09 · C1 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%31/01Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 77%16/04Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 30%27/06Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 80%19/09
Projected finish9th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend
27%3-1245/100
2
12
OR 103
20/1
Completely Random silks

Paul Inglett And Beckhampton

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 5

Havana Grey - Random Success (Shamardal)

Lewis Edmunds60%0/1Harry Charlton60%
002045
3.0
Cheek pieces

Won twice at Lingfield in January, including a listed race and just as good on turf this summer, runner-up in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot before finishing an unlucky fourth in the Stewards' Cup at Goodwood. Seemed to find the extended 6f against him at Doncaster last time and can bounce back.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par16/049/05 · C2 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par25/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par13/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 23%16/04Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 96%20/06Pos 13 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 13 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 88%1/08Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%13/09
Projected finish10th of 12
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
18%3-1245/100
10
10
OR 105
16/1
Into The Sky silks

Mrs D Tabor, Dr P Wilson & R Stanbridg

3yo Colt · 9-3 · Draw 7

Starman - Kemble (Kodiac)

K Shoemark60%1/2J R Boyle
12404
5.0

Blitzed 12 rivals in 6.5f Newbury maiden on debut last summer and undone by inexperience in Group 2 Mill Reef 23 days later. Hasn't hit the same heights in 3 starts this year, though wasn't disgraced back sprinting after 11 weeks off when fourth in the Prix de Meautry at Deauville (6f) latest.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a28/0820/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par20/06 · C1 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par30/08 · C1 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 100%28/08Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 86%20/09Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 77%2/05Pos 14 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 14 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 13%20/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%30/08
Projected finish11th of 12
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
9%10-1277/100
5
11
OR 101
25/1
Jasour silks

AlMohamediya Racing

5yo Horse · 9-4 · Draw 8

Havana Grey - Twilight Thyme (Bahamian Bounty)

P J McDonald0/2C G Cox
266050
3.0
Tongue strap

Runner-up in a Doncaster listed race on reappearance in March. Solid efforts back at minor pattern level next 2 outings but more miss than hit since, acknowledging he can have a line put through his belated handicap debut run at Goodwood last time. Has had a breathing operation since.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C1 · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par28/0316/04 · C1 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par13/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par20/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par18/07 · C1 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par28/07 · C2 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 91%28/03Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 58%13/05Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 6%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%18/07Pos 15 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 15 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 36%28/07
Projected finish12th of 12
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
0%12-1290/100