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16:48 · Kilbeggan

Kieran Kelly Memorial Handicap Hurdle (0-100)

2mGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap14 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 927/1
Syosset silks

Ms Caroline Ahearn

Syosset

5yo Gelding · 11-6

Crystal Ocean - Ambria (Monsun)

Michael Kenneally−5lbJ C McConnell
000322
7.0
Hood

Is progressing gradually, unlucky to bump into a handicap blot in 16-runner event at Cork (17f, good to soft, 7/1) 5 days ago. Excellent conditional now takes over in the saddle and expected to be on the premises again.

Class Advantage

14/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/11 · mark par14/1121/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par6/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par6/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par23/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par3/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 100%14/11Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 54%6/03Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 87%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 89%23/07Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 93%3/08
Projected finish1st of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
1
3
OR 1004/1
Liceo silks

Martin Leonard O'Hanlon

Liceo

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Almanzor - Totem (Mizzen Mast)

P J O'Hanlon60%0/10D A McLoughlin70%
409353
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +21st Tongue Strap +2

Stepped up on reappearance when third of 15 in 2m handicap at Tramore in May. Shaped as though still in good form when fifth at Downpatrick the following month and probably shouldn't be judged too hardly on his latest effort in maiden company at that venue. Drop back to 2m not sure to suit, though.

Class Advantage

3/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par3/107/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par10/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par30/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par13/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par14/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 25%3/10Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%10/05Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%13/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%14/07
Projected finish2nd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
10
Value2
OR 849/1
Ferdia silks

Bitview Partnership

Ferdia

10yo Gelding · 10-12

Dylan Thomas - Bonnie Theatre (King's Theatre)

John Aherne−7lbJ P Ryan
PP9687
2.0

Seventeen runs since last win in 2022 and finished only seventh of 15 in handicap chase at Killarney (23f, good) on most recent outing. Others more persuasive on this return to hurdling.

Class Advantage

29/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/10 · mark par29/109/01 · C11 · finish vs mark below9/01 · mark par24/04 · C10 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par30/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par13/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par17/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%29/10Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 47%24/04Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 36%13/06Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%17/07
Projected finish3rd of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
4
4
OR 9116/1
Valsorpresa silks

Gerard McGarry

Valsorpresa

8yo Gelding · 11-5

Sir Percy - Hunca Munca (Presenting)

Sean Cleary-Farrell60%−7lbRichard Daniels
009566
2.0
Tongue strap

Fourteen runs since last win in 2024 and went backwards from an encouraging reappearance when sixth of 9 in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (17f, good) 18 days ago. Bit to prove.

Class Advantage

3/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par3/0725/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par7/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below7/10 · mark par26/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par26/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par21/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 7%3/07Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%7/10Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 64%26/05Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%21/07
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
6
Market Fav10
OR 937/2
Folk Warrior silks

Albert Conneally & Louise Conneally

Folk Warrior

4yo Gelding · 11-4

Shaman - Grand Ole Opry (Helmet)

Daniel King60%J Nash
077
2.0

Steady progress in a trio of juvenile maiden hurdles last season and hasn't been disgraced since sent handicapping at a low level on the Flat this summer. May improve again now entering handicaps over hurdles.

Class Advantage

31/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/1231/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par12/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 50%31/12Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%26/05Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%9/07Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%12/07
Projected finish5th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
5
5
OR 9416/1
Walk Win silks

Nathan Rouse

Walk Win

4yo Gelding · 11-5

Jimmy Two Times - Walkada (Walk In The Park)

Eoin Walsh0/4J M Burke60%
699204
5.0
Cheek pieces

Returned to form whilst again hinting he may not be straightforward when fourth of 16 in handicap hurdle at Roscommon (2m, good) 33 days ago, carrying head bit awkwardly.

Class Advantage

19/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0318/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par31/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par14/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par6/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par6/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 62%19/03Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 53%13/05Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 31%14/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%6/07
Projected finish6th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
14
6
OR 7333/1
Surviving Murmansk silks

Sean Delaney

Surviving Murmansk

8yo Gelding · 10-1

The Carbon Unit - Born Innocent (Dark Angel)

Conor Stone-Walsh60%0/2J Barcoe
176602
5.0

Has an ordinary strike rate but bounced back to form ridden more positively than usual when second of 16 in handicap at Cork (17f, good to soft) 5 days ago, albeit having run of race. Possibilities if backing that up.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/1021/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par7/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par3/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 29%9/10Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 64%30/05Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%24/07Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 93%3/08
Projected finish7th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
9
7
OR 8418/1
Corkbeg silks

James Reaney

Corkbeg

9yo Gelding · 10-12

Milan - Sher Fountin (Beau Sher)

Alan O'Sullivan0/3−5lbD H Kelly60%
232097
3.0
Tongue strap

On a long losing run but down to a good mark and entitled to come on his first outing in 9 months at Killarney recently. Player.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/078/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par29/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par27/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par12/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/10 · mark par16/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 92%17/07Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 92%29/08Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 10 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%12/10Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 57%16/07
Projected finish8th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
7
9
OR 8711/1
Convincing silks

James Bourke

Convincing

5yo Gelding · 11-1

Make Believe - Queen Of Malta (Exceed And Excel)

Eoghan Finegan60%−5lbCiaran Murphy60%
007
2.0
Cheek pieces

Well held in a trio of maiden hurdles but opening mark favourable on the pick of his Flat form and should prove capable of better.

Class Advantage

11/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/015/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/03 · mark par30/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par22/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 37%11/01Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 68%15/03Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 11 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 17%15/07Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 76%22/07
Projected finish9th of 14
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
11
11
OR 86125/1
Bravemans Bounce silks

Gavin Collins & Paudie Clifford

Bravemans Bounce

4yo Gelding · 10-11

Brave Mansonnien - Grise Lightning (Wootton Bassett)

Mike O'Connor60%C Collins60%
809
2.0

Well held all 3 starts to date and looks to have been done no favours by the handicapper.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/029/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0515/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/05projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 13%28/02Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 23%9/05Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 38%15/05
Projected finish10th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
2
8
OR 9218/1
Blue Reed silks

Rocket Syndicate

Blue Reed

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Brave Mansonnien - Carambole (Astarabad)

Jack Kennedy60%C Collins70%
745127
5.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Finally off the mark in 14-runner handicap hurdle here(19f) in May. Backed it up with a good second in 7-runner handicap chase at Cartmel (17f, good to soft) but was below form back over the smaller obstacles at Killarney recently. Bounce back called for.

Class Advantage

26/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par26/0229/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below29/03 · mark par18/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par31/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par16/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%26/02Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 64%18/04Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%28/06Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%16/07
Projected finish11th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
13
13
OR 80250/1
Ardgillan silks

Ms Fiona Wentges

Ardgillan

6yo Gelding · 10-8

Califet - Rapid Replay (Doyen)

Joshua Halford60%−7lbM M Lynch
97900
2.0

Well beaten in bumpers and has fared no better in a trio of maiden hurdles. First handicap start after 8 months off.

Class Advantage

24/11 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a24/119/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a6/12projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%24/11Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 25%9/08Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 27%3/10Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 40%13/11Pos 22 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 22 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 16%6/12
Projected finish12th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
12
12
OR 83125/1
Kinski silks

D Cunningham

Kinski

7yo Gelding · 10-11

Vision D'etat - Katkota (Mansonnien)

J J Slevin60%J P Broderick
00709R
2.0
Hood

Well held in bumper/maiden hurdles for Patrick G. Kelly in 2024 and ran out sole start in points earlier this year. Hard to fancy.

Class Advantage

21/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/0319/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 15%21/03Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 21%19/04Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 45%18/07Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 36%6/08Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 27%12/08
Projected finish13th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
8
14
OR 8650/1
Zaryagle silks

T Flaherty

Zaryagle

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Free Eagle - Zariyama (Pivotal)

Tiernan Power Roche60%0/1P J Rothwell
0596P0
2.0

Showed just poor form in maiden hurdles last year and made no impact in a couple of handicaps afterwards. Improvement needed on return from 9-month absence. Engaged 17.48 Kilbeggan Friday.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/067/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/10 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/10 · mark par7/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 55%1/06Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 71%5/08Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%7/10Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 23%7/08
Projected finish14th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength24%
ExpectedActualTrend