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Nuit Torride

3yo Filly · 10-3

Auteuil · Prix De Chambly Hurdle - Grade 3 · 2m 1f 196y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/4

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Clairefontaine 29/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 14529/0632 @ Clairefontaine 22/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 2m198y Ver 15222/0721 @ Clairefontaine 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 15217/081projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Clairefontaine11st2nd−0
2026-07-22Clairefontaine21st3rd−1
2026-06-29Clairefontaine31st4th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0622/0717/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength88%

Delivery trend -6.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
22/07/20261st13/891%100%+0.09
17/08/20261st1/599%100%+0.01