19:00 · Southwell

Free Race Replays On attheraces.com Handicap

4f 214yStandardClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
12
Market Fav2
OR 45
3/1
Mimime silks

Mr A C Birkle

3yo Filly · 8-13

Soldier's Call - Sky Gypsy (Dandy Man)

L Morris70%0/1M Appleby60%
708732
5.0Going 7.0
Cheek pieces

Lightly-raced filly who produced her best effort yet when excellent second of 6 in handicap over C&D 14 days ago. 1 lb lower now and holds solid claims.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0518/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par17/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 4f 214y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%25/05Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%21/07Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%17/08Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 80%3/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.0%Ahead 2/4
7
Top Pick1
OR 51
6/1
Havin A Flyer silks

Rebecca Menzies Racing Club

3yo Filly · 9-5

Havana Grey - Nantosuelta (Kodiac)

S De Sousa60%R Menzies
332134
7.0
Tongue strap

Finally took advantage of a much-reduced mark over C&D in July before respectable third under a penalty at Wolverhampton a week later. Not in same form at Catterick since but can't be ruled out here.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/0618/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 60%11/06Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%7/07Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%30/07Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%4/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.7%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 54
4/1
Beach Partee silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Lope Y Fernandez - Parsnip (Zebedee)

Christian Howarth60%0/5S Dixon60%
442833
6.0Class ↓5
Visor

Won 3 times as a juvenile. Yet to score as a 3-y-o but arrives on the back of a couple of solid placed efforts, latest when creditable third of 6 in handicap at Brighton (5f, good, 5/2) 16 days ago. One of likelier contenders.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par26/0615/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 214y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 63%26/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%5/08Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%24/08Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 60%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.9%Ahead 3/4
3
6
OR 53
7/1
One For Harvey silks

Don Clark & Matthew Smith

4yo Filly · 9-8

Tasleet - Ada Lovelace (Byron)

Jack Gilligan60%0/2C Hobson
548654
4.0

Ready winner over 5f at Nottingham in May 2025 but not been able to add to that victory since. However, has dropped to a handy mark and stepped up on yard debut when good fourth of 11 in handicap at Windsor (6f, firm) 35 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par27/062/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par9/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 4f 214y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%27/06Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%3/09Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%23/07Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 70%13/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.8%Ahead 3/4
5
7
OR 52
10/1
Zonnebloem silks

Yellow Fields Racing

3yo Filly · 9-6

A'ali - Precious Diamond (War Front)

Lewis EdmundsJessica Macey
4635
4.0

Didn't show a lot for a couple of contrasting yards in 2025 and shaped as if needing the outing, back from 10 months off, when respectable fifth of 12 in handicap at this course (6f) 17 days ago. This run should reveal more.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0627/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0920/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/1031/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 75%Dist: 4f 214y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 25%18/06Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 50%27/09Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 50%20/10Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 64%31/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.4%Ahead 3/4
1
9
OR 55
7/1
El Ghuwah silks

Hill Top Equestrian Centre Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Mohaather - Pretty One (Dark Angel)

Alex Jary0/2Joey Ramsden
534
5.0

Gradual progression in a trio of starts this summer, latest when fourth of 9 in maiden at this course (6f, 150/1) 32 days ago. Open to improvement on handicap debut and is worth monitoring in the market.

Class Advantage

4/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0722/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0716/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength90%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 4f 214y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%4/07Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 33%22/07Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 63%16/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.6%Ahead 3/3
6
5
OR 51
16/1
Phoenix Beach silks

Mr Robert Dearnaley

7yo Gelding · 9-6

Mehmas - Inverse (Oasis Dream)

K T O'Neill1/8S Dixon60%
935570
3.0
Cheek pieces

It's now 18 runs since last win in 2025 and he rarely threatened in early part of this year. Returns from 3-month absence with something to prove.

Class Advantage

2/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par2/0320/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par4/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par21/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par22/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/05 · mark par13/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%2/03Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%4/04Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 45%22/05Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 23%13/06
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.6%Ahead 1/4
8
4
OR 49
25/1
Mademoiselle Belle silks

The B-Sides Syndicate

3yo Filly · 9-3

Coulsty - Melabelle (Style Vendome)

Finley Marsh70%0/1M Comley60%
263980
2.0
1st Visor +2

Best watched after finishing down the field in all 3 starts since joining this yard, albeit she suffered interference at Lingfield last time. Visor on first time.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par26/049/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 4f 214y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 93%26/04Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%30/05Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%21/07Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%18/08
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.1%Ahead 1/4
11
8
OR 45
10/1
Mariselle silks

Mr Adam Kirby

3yo Filly · 8-13

No Nay Never - Crying Shame (Street Cry)

Charles BishopAdam Kirby80%
4795
3.0
1st Eye Cover +11st Tongue Strap +2

Lightly-raced maiden who has made little impact thus far, including on Lingfield handicap debut 31 days ago. Eyeshields/tongue strap on first time. Makes limited appeal.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/064/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0714/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0717/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 4f 214y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%18/06Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%4/07Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 11%14/07Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%17/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.2%Ahead 3/4
2
10
OR 55
20/1
Hvar silks

Ryedale Racing

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Havana Grey - Bluebird Day (Hot Streak)

J P Sullivan60%0/1J & S Quinn70%
007090
2.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +2

A fair 6f winner at Wolverhampton for Ralph Beckett last autumn but nowhere near that level for current yard this season. Now tried in cheekpieces for first time.

Class Advantage

16/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/04 · mark par16/044/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par6/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 214y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 8%16/04Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%21/05Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%6/07Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 1/4
10
12
OR 46
25/1
Kohana Girl silks

Mr Stephen Morris

5yo Mare · 9-1

Sioux Nation - Dandilion (Dandy Man)

Jonny PeateJ R Jenkins
352805
3.0

Still looking for first win and ran poorly when last seen over C&D 15 months ago. Best watched.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/075/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par8/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par13/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/12 · mark par29/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par17/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 4f 214y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%17/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 75%8/10Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%29/04Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%17/06
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +39.0%Ahead 3/4
9
11
OR 47
25/1
Tommie's Angel silks

Ride for Tommie Racing Club

3yo Filly · 9-1

Dark Angel - Global Light (Excelebration)

Alfie Redman60%−7lbR Menzies60%
47057
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Hinted at ability in her qualifying runs but has failed to improve in a couple of handicap outings this summer, last of 7 at Wolverhampton latest. Tongue strap on first time.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/0522/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 60%Dist: 4f 214y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%7/05Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%22/05Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%30/05Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 43%30/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.0%Ahead 2/4