18:00 · Southwell

Free Bets On attheraces.com Selling Handicap

1m 13yStandardClass 43YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market Fav2
OR 72
11/4
Roi De Coeur silks

Scuderia la Tesa Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-1

City Light - Dame De Coeur (Anodin)

S De Sousa60%M Botti
651252
5.0

Improved since switching to handicaps, scoring at Kempton in July. Excellent second over C&D last time, pulling clear of the rest. Big shout up 2 lb.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/0515/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%18/05Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%8/07Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 69%10/08Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%31/08
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 1/4
4
3
OR 72
4/1
Indefensible silks

Ownaracehorse, West & McCracken

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Inns Of Court - Vexatious (Shamardal)

Harry Russell2/12Ollie Pears
533131
8.0

Made it 2 wins from his last 3 starts here (7f) 2 weeks ago, staying on strongly to mow down the top pair in the market. Remains unexposed on all-weather.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/068/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%16/06Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 33%18/07Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 71%14/08Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.9%Ahead 3/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 78
5/1
Cool Molly silks

Nick Bradley Racing 15 & Partner

3yo Filly · 9-7

Cotai Glory - Mollie The Moo (Requinto)

David Probert70%1/2Ollie Sangster
306832
6.0Going 10.0

Registered her fourth all-weather success here (7f) in April. Back to that level when second at Newbury 3 weeks ago so she must be respected returning to this surface.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par7/0523/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par12/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 82%7/05Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 15 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%12/06Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%25/07Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.7%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 81
6/1
Rogue Supremacy silks

The Rogues Gallery

3yo Gelding · 9-10

St Mark's Basilica - Mighty Spirit (Acclamation)

L Morris70%0/8A Watson60%
875593
4.0Class ↓3

Struggling for form at present but made more of an impact off reduced mark when third at Lingfield 6 weeks ago and mark has eased another 1 lb. Extra 1f may also help.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/0416/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par25/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par10/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par14/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par8/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m 13y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 46%3/04Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 64%25/05Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 11%14/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%8/08
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.2%Ahead 2/4
5
4
OR 71
5/1
Sandy Craic silks

Gallop Racing

3yo Filly · 9-0

Starman - Beach Wedding (Footstepsinthesand)

Connor Beasley60%D O'Meara60%
512235
5.0

Showed a likeable attitude when opening her account at Carlisle in June and has continued in good heart since, again not getting the clearest of passages there last week.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0615/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par4/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par29/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 13y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 56%5/06Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 88%4/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%8/08Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 56%9/09
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.0%Ahead 1/4