13:52 · Naas

Goffs Two Million Series Maiden

5fYielding (Good to Yielding in places)2YO onlyTURF8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 88
11/10
New Bond Street silks

Bond Thoroughbred Limited

2yo Filly · 9-2

Havana Grey - Under The Covers (Stimulation)

Billy Lee60%0/3P Twomey
5333
6.0Going 7.0Class ↓7

Progressive filly who was undone by a tardy start when good 2 lengths third of 10 in listed race at the Curragh (5f, good) 32 days ago. Looks the one to beat.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/0622/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/079/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/0816/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 5 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 69%14/06Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 88%22/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%9/08Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 78%16/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.6%Ahead 1/4
2
4
OR 80
4/1
Cyclone Code silks

R Cavanagh

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Kodi Bear - Spy Ring (Bushranger)

Donagh O'Connor60%0/3S Cavanagh
663
4.0

Thrice-raced gelding who found some improvement, on the back of a gelding operation, when third of 8 in maiden at Navan (5f, good, 9/1) 15 days ago. One of the likelier contenders.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/051/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/072/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 44%11/05Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 29%1/07Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.6%Ahead 3/3
1
2
OR 90
9/4
Abletai silks

Joseph E Keeling & W Keeling

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Starspangledbanner - Elanora (No Nay Never)

Colin Keane60%M C Grassick60%
8266
4.0Class ↓7
1st Hood +1

Dead-heated for second with subsequent Group 1 winner Sun Goddess over C&D second time up. Not at same level since but must enter calculations here. Hood on first time.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/049/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/054/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0719/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%25/04Pos 2 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 83%9/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%4/07Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%19/07
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 1/4
5
3
11/2
Alloutoflove silks

Mrs Paul Shanahan & Mrs M V Magnier & T V Magnier & Paul D Smith

2yo Filly · 9-2

Starspangledbanner - Robustly (Dandy Man)

Seamie HeffernanJ A Stack
No form3.0

Foaled February 2. 160,000 gns yearling, Starspangledbanner filly. Dam, runner-up at 6f, half-sister to smart winner up to 7f The Cheka. Worth a second look in the market on debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish4th of 857% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength71%
3
7
20/1
Gus Mccrae silks

Noel Meade Racing Ltd

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Nando Parrado - Divine Approach (Dawn Approach)

Adam Caffrey60%0/1N Meade
78
2.0

Offered a little more than on debut when eighth of 11 in maiden at Down Royal (5f, good, 22/1) 13 days ago. Likely one for handicaps down the line.

Class Advantage

2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/094/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 14%2/09Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 30%4/09
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 1/2
6
5
33/1
Imply silks

Mrs John M Weld

2yo Filly · 9-2

Elzaam - Suggest (Raven's Pass)

Patrick McGettigan0/1−5lbC Weld
0
2.0

Sent off big odds and looked badly in need of the experience in maiden at Down Royal (5f) on debut 13 days ago, missing break. Likely one for the longer term.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%4/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1
4
6
100/1
Kilcullen silks

R A Pegum

2yo Colt · 9-7

Sioux Nation - Queen Reem (Pride Of Dubai)

Ronan Whelan60%T Collins
0
2.0

Finished well held in maiden at this course (6f, good to firm, 200/1) on debut 25 days ago and is likely to need more time.

Class Advantage

23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 21%23/08
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 1/1
8
8
100/1
Syrah silks

Mrs John M Weld

2yo Filly · 9-2

Invincible Army - Wow (Style Vendome)

Rory Mulligan60%−5lbC Weld60%
08
2.0
1st Hood +1

Well beaten both starts in 5f maidens. Hood now added.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/0827/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 13%14/08Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.7%Ahead 1/2