17:00 · Southwell

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)

7f 14yStandardClass 42YO onlyALLWEATHER11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
2
OR 69
4/1
Cool King silks

Mr Mohamed Saeed Buhlaibeh

2yo Colt · 9-7

Kingman - Fraxinella (Frankel)

S De Sousa60%M Botti
734
5.0

Stepped up on debut effort when third of 9 in novice at Epsom (7f, good to firm) in late July. Ran to only a similarly modest level when fourth of 11 at Newmarket since, though. More required.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/0630/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/0714/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength15%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%16/06Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%30/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 70%14/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.4%Ahead 1/3
6
3
OR 73
11/4
Storm Force Ten silks

The Ten Club

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Persian Force - Testimony (Lawman)

William CarverJ A Osborne
035
4.0Class ↓2

Left debut well behind when third of 12 in 6f novice (80/1) at Salisbury in August and ran to a similar level when fifth of 7 at Ascot (6f, good) 13 days ago, staying on to be nearest at the finish. Step back up to 7f will suit and remains capable of better.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/0821/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/084/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength14%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%10/08Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 82%21/08Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.1%Ahead 2/3
9
4
12/1
Angel Of Heaven silks

Cheveley Park Stud

2yo Filly · 9-2

Harry Angel - Heaven Sent (Pivotal)

Jonny Peate0/1J R Fanshawe80%
78
2.0

Well-bred Harry Angel filly who has been in need of the experience when down the field on both her starts to date, latterly in 10-runner maiden at Newmarket in July. Likely to be of more interest in handicaps after this outing.

Class Advantage

29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0618/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a18/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%29/06Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%18/07
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.7%Ahead 1/2
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 75
2/1
Bullrider silks

Ed Babington & George Boughey

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Blackbeard - We Reach The Shore (Galileo)

Jack Callan60%0/1G Boughey
235
5.0Class ↓2

Blackbeard colt who backed up his debut second when third in 12-runner novice at Southwell (7f) in July. Perhaps unsuited by the combination of a 10-day turnaround and the step up to 1m when not in the same form back there last time. Has since been gelded and worth another chance.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/0727/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/076/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par6/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%1/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 82%27/07Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 43%6/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.9%Ahead 1/3
3
5
5/1
Galactic Affair silks

A Bit On The Side

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Space Traveller - Petite Georgia (Camacho)

Charles BishopEve Johnson Houghton90%
No form3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Foaled March 3. €28,000 yearling, Space Traveller gelding. Half-brother to several winners, including 7f winner Me Tarzan and winner up to 7f Royal Ambition. Dam maiden best at 6f. Yard capable of readying one, so needs a close look in the betting with cheekpieces enlisted for debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish5th of 1160% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength74%
11
9
33/1
Sweet Distraction silks

Mr Robert Pocock

2yo Filly · 9-2

Ten Sovereigns - Timely Words (Galileo)

Oliver Stammers60%0/2Grant Tuer
05
3.0

Ten Sovereigns filly who looks one for nurseries after this run.

Class Advantage

29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/089/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 13 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%29/08Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%9/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.0%Ahead 1/2
4
6
100/1
Mad Jack silks

Colvin, Bradley & Partner

2yo Colt · 9-7

Churchill - Zabeel Park (Medicean)

Finley Marsh70%E De Giles
88
3.0Class ↓2

Couldn't even match debut form when a well-held eight of 9 in 1m novice at Salisbury (good to soft, 150/1) 14 days ago.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/083/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength59%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%15/08Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 13%3/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.1%Ahead 2/2
5
8
14/1
Solar Major silks

James Dellaway

2yo Colt · 9-7

Invincible Army - Diabolic (Dark Angel)

Lewis EdmundsR A Teal80%
No form3.0
1st Blinkers +3

Foaled February 3. £33,000 yearling, Invincible Army colt. Dam North American 2-y-o 5f-6.5f winner, including minor stakes. Wears blinkers for debut which is somewhat off-putting.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish8th of 1130% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength26%
8
11
100/1
God Of Titans silks

Forces Unite Partnership

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Persian Force - Suedehead (Cape Cross)

Jack Doughty60%C Hobson
08
1.0Class ↓2

Got cheaper each time he went through the sales ring and has shown nothing either start to date.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a9/0730/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a30/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 17 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 6%9/07Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 22%30/07
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.1%Ahead 2/2
10
7
20/1
Nouva Stella silks

Middleham Park Racing Cxxi And Pls

2yo Filly · 9-2

Sergei Prokofiev - Tresorella (Intello)

David Probert70%Harry Eustace60%
0
2.0

Finished down the field in 12-runner maiden at Kempton (7f) on debut 38 days ago, though did have the worst of the draw. Needs a big step forward.

Class Advantage

10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%10/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.7%Ahead 0/1
7
10
50/1
Five Star George silks

George Lodge Ltd & Julie Camacho

2yo Colt · 9-4

Tosen Stardom - Miami Breeze (Born To Sea)

Ryan SextonMiss J A Camacho
0
2.0

Sent off 50/1 and offered little when down the field in 6f maiden at Thirsk (good) on debut 34 days ago.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 7f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 10%14/08
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 1/1