14:38 · Pontefract

Nadeen Dawson Memorial Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

1m 6yGoodClass 43YO plusTURF6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 74
5/4
River Nile silks

Mr M A R Blencowe

3yo Filly · 9-2

Teofilo - Juneau (Dubawi)

Jason Watson70%A M Balding60%
633
5.0Class ↓2

Given a considerate introduction in a valuable newcomers race at Sandown last summer. Fair third behind above-average types both starts this year, latterly beaten 2½ lengths in a steadily-run novice at Kempton (1m). In the right hands to progress and looks the most solid option here.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0819/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/084/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength62%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 17%30/08Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%19/08Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%4/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.4%Ahead 1/3
3
Market Fav2
OR 74
11/10
Devil's Brigade silks

Mr E A L Dunlop

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Calyx - Ladies From Hell (Galileo)

Rowan Scott60%E A L Dunlop
5322
6.0Class ↓2

Has proved consistent rather than progressive on all-weather. Failed to capitalise on a good opportunity when ½-length second in Lingfield maiden (1¼m) on return last time. Now back on turf for the first time since debut and did look to find 1m on the sharp side on sole previous try at this trip.

Class Advantage

18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a18/0916/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a16/106/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/1125/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 6y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 60%18/09Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%16/10Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 92%6/11Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 83%25/08
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength90%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.3%Ahead 3/4
6
3
7/1
Fan Me silks

Lael Stable

3yo Filly · 9-2

Too Darn Hot - Wonderstruck (Sea The Stars)

Cieren Fallon80%W J Haggas60%
7P
3.0

Well-bred daughter of Too Darn Hot. Didn't offer much on debut prior to being pulled up (lost action) at Newbury last July. A 14-month absence would typically be a concern but she's in excellent hands. Needs a close look for yard with 61% strike rate in novice/maiden races here in past 5 seasons.

Class Advantage

12/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/07
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%12/07
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -33.1%Ahead 0/1
5
4
14/1
L'isle De Bois silks

Mr D R Tucker

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Aclaim - Kermouster (Garswood)

J GarrittyGrant Tuer
No form3.0Going 8.0

Aclaim gelding. Dam 6f-9f winner. Gelded ahead of his belated debut and hard to be confident he'll make an impact.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish4th of 640% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength26%
4
5
66/1
Jetpack Jimmy silks

Mr James Marshall & Freya Marshall

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Masar - Rio's Rosanna (Captain Rio)

A Elliott0/2S Whitaker
09
1.0

Little promise in a couple of all-weather starts to date.

Class Advantage

26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0616/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 10%26/06Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 11%16/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.6%Ahead 2/2
1
6
100/1
Morty Robinson silks

Brian Ellison Racing Club

6yo Gelding · 9-11

Forever Now - Bezant (Zamindar)

Cam Hardie70%B Ellison
05
2.0

No promise at long odds on either outing.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/071/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a1/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%23/07Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%1/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/2