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18:30 · Southwell

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1m 13yStandardClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 65
10/1
Dream Illusion silks

Mrs J Lewis

Dream Illusion

4yo Filly · 9-11

Oasis Dream - Triple Star (Royal Applause)

David Probert70%0/1M Herrington60%
024829
5.0Going 8.0

Dual C&D winner in 2026 and back to that sort of form when good second of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (7f) last month. Undone by testing conditions at Haydock since and better expected here.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par15/054/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par8/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par6/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 8%15/05Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%8/07Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 30%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 89%17/08Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 11%4/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.2%Ahead 1/4
11
Market Fav2
OR 64
6/1
Sailor's Return silks

Car Colston Hall Stud

Sailor's Return

3yo Filly · 9-6

Soldier Hollow - Closing Bell (Siyouni)

Connor Beasley60%D O'Meara60%
466041
6.0
Tongue strap

Off the mark at fifth attempt for David O'Meara when landing 10-runner handicap over C&D 17 days ago. Just 3 lb higher now and is one for the shortlist.

Class Advantage

16/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a16/0315/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par3/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par9/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 13y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 79%16/03Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 44%3/07Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%3/08Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.0%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 65
8/1
Age Of Baroque silks

Mr R Teatum

Age Of Baroque

5yo Gelding · 9-11

Lope De Vega - Golden Lilas (Galileo)

Lewis Edmunds0/3Jessica Macey
394524
6.0

Course winner for Marco Botti last year who has run creditably the last twice for present stable, latest when creditable fourth of 12 in handicap (9/1) at Doncaster (7f, firm) 33 days ago. Warrants respect.

Class Advantage

10/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par10/0320/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par25/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par6/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par15/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 82%10/03Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%25/04Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 90%6/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%15/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.3%Ahead 4/4
7
7
OR 61
10/1
Aspull silks

Red 23 Racing

Aspull

4yo Gelding · 9-7

Invincible Spirit - Hilldale (Exceed And Excel)

Grace McEntee60%0/3P S McEntee
060573
5.0
Hood

7f winner on debut for Clive Cox last summer and posted easily his most encouraging effort for current yard when third of 14 in handicap over C&D 17 days ago, having run of race. Task now is to build on that.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par23/053/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par15/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 13y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 10%23/05Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%22/08Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 85%31/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.2%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 63
16/1
Ernie's Valentine silks

The Bumblebees And Partners

Ernie's Valentine

7yo Gelding · 9-9

Havana Gold - Eastern Destiny (Dubai Destination)

Alexandra Egan60%−7lbR Burdon
558474
4.0Class ↓4

Now 5 lb below last winning mark and may have needed the run, back from 5 months off, when respectable fourth of 9 in handicap at Lingfield (1m, AW) 23 days ago. Not discounted.

Class Advantage

2/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/02 · mark par2/0220/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par10/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par20/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par30/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par25/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%2/02Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 36%10/03Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 63%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 45%30/03Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%25/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.7%Ahead 2/4
14
3
OR 58
25/1
Soames Forsyte silks

Michael Herrington Racing Club

Soames Forsyte

7yo Gelding · 9-4

Siyouni - Fleur Forsyte (Teofilo)

Charles BishopM Herrington70%
550659
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Quirky type (regular slow starter) who bounced back to winning ways over C&D in January. Form has been mixed since, well held in similar race here latest. Others more appealing.

Class Advantage

5/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par5/0425/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par7/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par15/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par5/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 43%5/04Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 10%7/05Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%5/08Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 38%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.6%Ahead 2/4
8
8
OR 61
10/1
Gladiadora silks

Mrs R Coleman And Mr G Glendining

Gladiadora

5yo Mare · 9-7

Churchill - Desert Lily (Redoute's Choice)

Liam Wright60%1/4Charlie Clover
484246
5.0Going 8.0

Two 7f/1m all-weather wins since joining Charlie Clover and largely acquitted himself well in defeat more recently. Needs to bounce back from a below-par effort at Wolverhampton, though.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par27/0413/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 67%27/04Pos 8 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 8 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 22%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 70%20/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%20/07Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%18/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.4%Ahead 2/4
2
6
OR 65
16/1
No Knee Never silks

Nick Bradley Racing 18

No Knee Never

5yo Gelding · 9-11

No Nay Never - Question Times (Shamardal)

L Morris70%0/1James Owen70%
503066
4.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Three alI-weather wins earlier in the year but been more miss than hit since. Visor on first time. Others more convincing.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0627/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par21/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par12/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 13y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%13/06Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 13 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 8%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%18/07Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%12/08Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%1/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.1%Ahead 0/4
13
9
OR 63
12/1
Ceinture D'orion silks

Georginio Rutter & Jinky Farms

Ceinture D'orion

3yo Filly · 9-5

Sea The Stars - Quiet Protest (Kingmambo)

Rob HornbyD O'Meara60%
463437
5.0

Ran up to best when third in Ayr handicap (1¼m) last month. Well below that level at Redcar since but remains relatively unexposed. Makes tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0422/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par22/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength88%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 13y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%26/04Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%18/06Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%10/08Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%22/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.4%Ahead 2/4
12
10
OR 59
16/1
Palmarian silks

Mdp Racing And Mrs R Carr

Palmarian

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Kingman - Patroness (Dubawi)

J P Sullivan60%1/11Mrs R Carr
512840
4.0Class ↓4
Hood

Gained breakthrough success at Leicester (1m) in July and backed it up with a good second at Doncaster next time. Not been in same form since, however.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/064/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 69%19/06Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%18/07Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 79%14/08Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%2/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.9%Ahead 2/4
4
11
OR 64
33/1
Nordic Norm silks

Mr M K P Turner

Nordic Norm

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Saxon Warrior - Fracherette (Exceed And Excel)

Jonny Peate0/7J R Jenkins
452905
3.0Class ↓5
Tongue strap

Winless since his debut success at Newcastle for Karl Burke and hasn't really threatened in recent outings. Others preferred despite his attractive handicap mark.

Class Advantage

8/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/01 · mark par8/017/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par7/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par1/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/04 · mark par12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par23/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength85%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%8/01Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 83%7/03Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 10%12/06Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%23/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.0%Ahead 2/4
9
12
OR 65
20/1
Dolo's Star silks

Miss C Dolan

Dolo's Star

3yo Filly · 9-7

Starman - Eccellente Idea (Excellent Art)

S De Sousa60%0/1I Furtado
54203
4.0

Progressed with each of her 3 all-weather starts for Grant Tuer, notably second of 8 in 5f novice at this course in April. However, offered little in a couple of outings for new yard this summer.

Class Advantage

11/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/039/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par16/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par16/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 60%Dist: 1m 13y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%11/03Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 40%9/04Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 86%28/04Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%4/07Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%16/07
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.7%Ahead 2/4