15:25 · Naas

Care At Home Nursery Handicap

1mYielding (Good to Yielding in places)2YO onlyTURFHandicap13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 60
11/4
Elyatta silks

G Matthews

2yo Colt · 9-2

Elzaam - Kukri Klass (The Gurkha)

Billy Lee60%0/1N Meade60%
08942
5.0
Blinkers

Much improved for application of blinkers when second of 10 in nursery at Down Royal (7f, good) 13 days ago. Mark is unchanged and he can go well again.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/0630/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par4/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places) · 20%Dist: 1m · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 44%12/06Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%30/06Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%5/08Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 40%29/08Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 89%4/09
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.7%Ahead 2/4
1
2
OR 72
9/2
Golden Arizona silks

Ray Grehan

2yo Gelding · 10-0

Arizona - Golden Leg (Australia)

Jack Kearney0/1J Davison70%
045
3.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Has seemingly been brought along with nurseries in mind, never nearer when fifth of 13 in maiden at Down Royal (7f, soft) 90 days ago. Gelded during his absence and steps into this company sporting a first-time tongue strap, though opening mark is perhaps on the stiff side.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/0512/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/0619/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 1m · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 9%4/05Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%12/06Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%19/06
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.8%Ahead 2/3
4
4
OR 68
16/1
Wecouldavehaditall silks

Ringfort Stud Limited

2yo Filly · 9-10

Bayside Boy - Folie De Louise (Tin Horse)

Ben Coen70%Daniel McLoughlin60%
907
2.0

Yet to run to more than a barely modest level across 3 quick outings but no surprise if she produces better in nurseries.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/0723/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/081/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places) · 67%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 27%28/07Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 27%23/08Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 60%1/09
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.0%Ahead 3/3
5
5
OR 67
14/1
Cromane silks

Crampscastle Bloodstock Ltd

2yo Filly · 9-9

Territories - Grace And Glory (Montjeu)

Gary Carroll0/2J G Murphy
570
2.0

Territories filly looked a longer-term prospect when mid-field in maidens at Cork and Galway. Always behind at the Curragh (6f) last month and now steps up in trip for nursery debut.

Class Advantage

19/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0531/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/0716/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%19/05Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 57%31/07Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 18%16/08
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.6%Ahead 2/3
2
7
OR 69
14/1
Highest Order silks

Juddmonte

2yo Colt · 9-11

Dark Angel - Clerisy (Kingman)

Colin Keane60%0/1G M Lyons
470
2.0

Shaped as if needing experience when a distant fourth of 5 at Leopardstown on debut but hasn't progressed in 2 outings since. Needs switch to nurseries to have positive effect.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0715/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0829/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%23/07Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%15/08Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 17%29/08
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.7%Ahead 2/3
13
3
OR 47
16/1
Panhandle silks

Gerard Clarke/Seven Plus One Syndicate/Patrick McGuinness

2yo Gelding · 8-7

Nando Parrado - Maayaat (Jazil)

Chris Hayes60%G P Cromwell100%
008
2.0
1st Blinkers +3

Nando Parrado gelding offered nothing across 3 qualifying runs. Makes nursery debut from out of the weights and in first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage

11/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0723/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0831/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a31/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 1m · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 13 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%11/07Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 7%23/08Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 13%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.1%Ahead 2/3
12
11
OR 50
15/2
Rathbran Lady silks

F Dardis

2yo Filly · 8-7

Arizona - Ammolite (Profitable)

Terry Casey60%−7lbM Mulvany
0075
2.0

Showed more when fifth of 10 on nursery debut (33/1) at Down Royal (7f, good) 13 days ago. Place claims having been dropped 2 lb.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/0815/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0827/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/084/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 15%9/08Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 31%15/08Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 14%27/08Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%4/09
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.0%Ahead 4/4
9
6
OR 62
13/2
Thelymitra silks

Mrs A M O'Brien

2yo Filly · 9-4

Australia - Elleanthus (War Command)

J M Sheridan60%0/1J P O'Brien60%
6806
2.0
Cheek pieces

Australia filly who failed to improve for first-time cheekpieces or the switch to a nursery when sixth of 10 at Down Royal (7f, good, 13/2) 13 days ago. Still, in top hands so too early to write her off.

Class Advantage

16/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/0725/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0728/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a28/074/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places) · 25%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%16/07Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 22%25/07Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 9%28/07Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 44%4/09
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
8
10
OR 64
12/1
Two Brigade silks

Mrs M D O'Callaghan

2yo Colt · 9-6

Invincible Army - Faithful Duchess (Bachelor Duke)

Reese Holohan60%−7lbM O'Callaghan
85686
2.0

Bred to make a speedy 2-y-o but hasn't finished any better than mid-field across 5 starts to date (in nurseries on the last 2). Hardly looks as if he's crying out for this step up in trip.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/049/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below5/08 · mark par27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places) · 20%Dist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%3/04Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 33%9/05Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%3/07Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%5/08Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%27/08
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.8%Ahead 2/4
7
9
OR 65
20/1
Supreme Act silks

Premier Spirit Again Syndicate

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Supremacy - Rosa Albertine (Camelot)

Andrew Slattery60%0/1A Slattery
870
2.0

Well held all 3 starts in maidens and improvement will need to be forthcoming if he's to make a winning nursery debut from this mark.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/063/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0731/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 42%19/06Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%3/07Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 29%31/07
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.7%Ahead 3/3
6
8
OR 66
20/1
Armarone's Girl silks

Lexington Investments Limited

2yo Filly · 9-8

State Of Rest - Temerity (Zoffany)

Seamie Heffernan0/1Cian Hughes
600
2.0

Decent sixth of 12 on debut at Leopardstown but backwards steps both starts since. Opposable on nursery bow.

Class Advantage

23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0723/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/088/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 55%23/07Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 13%23/08Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 9%8/09
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 12-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.7%Ahead 3/3
14
13
OR 45
20/1
Tina Tereshkova silks

Stay Wut Her Jonny Syndicate

2yo Filly · 8-7

Space Traveller - Last Phase (Twilight Son)

Julian Pietropaolo−7lbA Kinirons
0960
2.0

Failed to show any ability in 4 maidens and is hard to fancy making nursery debut from out of the weights.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/055/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/0612/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/0626/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a26/06projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 1m · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%31/05Pos 9 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%5/06Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 38%12/06Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%26/06
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.4%Ahead 1/4
11
12
OR 57
20/1
Spanish View silks

Sinead Fahey

2yo Filly · 8-13

Phoenix Of Spain - Hanvarana (Leroidesanimaux)

Neve Bennett−7lbJ P Fahey
900
2.0

Phoenix of Spain filly has offered little in 3 maidens to date. Makes nursery debut.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0620/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/084/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%19/06Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 15%20/08Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 15%4/09
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 11-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 3/3