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16:25 · Southwell

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

2m 102yStandardClass 43YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 83
6/1
New York Minute silks

Hill Top Equestrian Centre Ltd

New York Minute

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Wootton Bassett - Fancy (Galileo)

Lewis EdmundsJoey Ramsden60%
283292
6.0Going 10.0
Visor

Won back-to-back C&D handicaps as part of a hat-trick at back end of last year. Underlined he isn't as good on turf at Thirsk in May and finished a rather hollow second back over C&D when last seen in early July.

Class Advantage

10/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par10/1216/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/01 · mark par23/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par1/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/05 · mark par31/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/05 · mark par5/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 2m 102y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%10/12Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%23/04Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%31/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%5/07
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.9%Ahead 2/4
4
Market Fav3
OR 78
4/6
Level Look silks

Kingsclere Racing Club

Level Look

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Passing Glance - Inclyne (Intello)

Callum Hutchinson60%1/2A M Balding60%
414261
6.0

Resumed progress/winning ways in 4-runner handicap at Wolverhampton (1¾m) 10 days ago, benefiting from the increase in trip. That admittedly wasn't the deepest of races, but neither is this and he's of obvious interest under a 6-lb penalty with the step up to 2m promising to suit.

Class Advantage

22/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/129/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par2/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/08 · mark par8/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 73%22/12Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 44%8/08Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.0%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 86
3/1
Dojin silks

Brook Stud

Dojin

4yo Filly · 10-1

Iffraaj - Sunchisetagioo (Exceed And Excel)

Jack Callan60%S Woods
311231
8.0Going 9.0
Hood

Made it 3 wins from 5 starts this year fitted with a hood in 5-runner handicap at Newmarket (1¾m, good) 33 days ago, value for extra having encountered trouble late in the day. Likely to stay 2m and a 3 lb higher mark shouldn't prevent her from remaining competitive.

Class Advantage

2/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par2/048/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par4/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par15/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 50%2/04Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%4/05Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%10/07Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%15/08
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.2%Ahead 4/4
2
2
OR 84
10/1
Charging Thunder silks

Goodfellow And Lawson

Charging Thunder

8yo Gelding · 9-13

War Command - Storming Sioux (Storming Home)

L Morris70%0/1James Owen60%
502700
5.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Multiple Flat/hurdles winner upon joining present yard and proved well suited by the increased emphasis on stamina when bolting up in 6-runner handicap hurdle at Stratford (2¾m) in July. Struggled in a good-quality handicap back on the level at Goodwood but this is much less competitive.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par15/043/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par28/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par19/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par31/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 2m 102y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%15/04Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 40%28/05Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 7%31/07
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 3/4