IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. yarmouth
  3. race-1

12:56 · Yarmouth

Sea Deer Handicap

6f 3yGoing TBCClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market Fav3
OR 71
9/4
Massimo Blue silks

Gee Gee's Racing Club

Massimo Blue

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Territories - Sinaadi (Kyllachy)

Billy Loughnane80%1/1Dylan Cunha
553311
7.0

Made a successful debut for this yard (formerly with George Baker) at Southwell (6f) last month and followed up over same C&D 11 days later. 6 lb higher now but is a must for any shortlist.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/01 · mark par15/0123/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par16/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par27/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%15/01Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 80%2/07Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%16/08Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.7%Ahead 3/4
12
Top Pick1
OR 65
9/2
Dark Side Thunder silks

Mr M M Foulger

Dark Side Thunder

7yo Gelding · 8-13

Night Of Thunder - Dark Side Princess (Strategic Prince)

George Wood60%1/2Jessica Macey60%
925382
6.0Going 8.0
Visor

Making his fifth appearance in this race (placed in 2023 and 2024) and arrives on the back of creditable second of 6 in handicap over C&D (firm) 63 days ago. Races off same mark here and merits consideration.

Class Advantage

10/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par10/0321/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par25/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%10/03Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%9/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 13%20/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 80%15/07
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.8%Ahead 1/4
1
Value2
OR 82
7/1
Three Non Blondes silks

D Lovatt & C Bacon

Three Non Blondes

3yo Filly · 10-0

Ubettabelieveit - Mosqueras Romance (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Tom Marquand70%Hayley Burton
153717
6.0Going 8.0

Dual 6f/7f winner for Karl Burke last winter and gained first success for current yard in 4-runner handicap at this course (7f) in July. Proved disappointing on all-weather since but may do better back here.

Class Advantage

30/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par30/013/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%30/01Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 83%20/06Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%23/07Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%11/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.2%Ahead 2/4
6
4
OR 75
12/1
Tyger Bay silks

Middleham Park Racing Xxxvii & Partner

Tyger Bay

9yo Gelding · 9-9

Cable Bay - Ribbon Royale (Royal Applause)

Joe Leavy3/12C Allen90%
719258
3.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Resumed winning ways at Chelmsford (6f) in March but been more miss than hit since, well held at Southwell latest. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

25/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/02 · mark par25/027/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par26/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%25/02Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%26/03Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%29/08Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%3/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.3%Ahead 2/4
3
7
OR 78
12/1
Underwriter silks

Apollo Horses V

Underwriter

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Mehmas - Zaur's Heart (No Nay Never)

Darragh KeenanMichael Keady70%
800400
2.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +2

Won maiden/novice events over 6f at Ayr for Archie Watson last summer. Bounced back to form on second run for new yard with Ascot fourth in July but well below that level since. Now tried in cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par24/0413/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par25/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par19/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%24/04Pos 20 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 9%10/07Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 14 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 28%19/08Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 9%5/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.9%Ahead 4/4
9
8
OR 75
7/1
Deluded silks

Laurence Bellman And Partner

Deluded

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Shaman - Serenity Dove (Harbour Watch)

Paddy Bradley1/4C Fellowes60%
192335
4.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Wolverhampton maiden winner this time last year who got back on the up when creditable third at Kempton (6f) in June. Not in same form over longer trip latest but must enter calculations here.

Class Advantage

20/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/0910/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/10 · mark par10/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par15/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par10/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 100%20/09Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%10/04Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%10/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%17/07
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength53%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 76
12/1
Flag Of St George silks

Mr Laurence Holder

Flag Of St George

5yo Gelding · 9-10

U S Navy Flag - Tamazug (Machiavellian)

D Egan60%0/3Jane Chapple-Hyam60%
258768
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓4
Blinkers

Dual winner last term but yet to really fire in 4 starts this season. Below last winning mark now but others appeal more.

Class Advantage

3/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/12 · mark par3/1226/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/12 · mark par30/01 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/01 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 89%3/12Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 13%30/01Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%12/08Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 42%4/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 2/4
7
6
OR 76
14/1
Stellar Vision silks

Mr J W Parry & Mr Robert Levitt

Stellar Vision

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Oasis Dream - Stellar Surprise (Notnowcato)

Kaiya Fraser70%S C Williams80%
313006
3.0
Tongue strap

Landed 7f Wolverhampton novice in January and close third on handicap debut at Newmarket in April. However, barely beat a rival home in a trio of starts since and has something to prove now.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/102/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par14/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par14/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%31/10Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%14/04Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 20 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 20 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%23/05Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%14/08
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.9%Ahead 2/4
5
11
OR 77
16/1
King Of Chaos silks

Quest Thoroughbreds - King Of Chaos

King Of Chaos

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Showcasing - Zeyran (Galileo)

Jack Callan60%1/1Dylan Cunha
317170
3.0

Three-time winner on all-weather this year, latest at Wolverhampton in July. Below form more recently, though, and has yet to score on turf.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/0516/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par31/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par26/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%29/05Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%9/07Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%31/07Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%26/08
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.0%Ahead 2/4
11
9
OR 70
20/1
Akabusi silks

Mr Jim Gill

Akabusi

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Mohaather - Today's The Day (Alhaarth)

Grace McEntee60%M Fenton
148408
2.0

Capitalised on a drop in grade when scoring at Newmarket in May. Disappointed more recently but has been cut plenty of slack by the handicapper and is worth a second look in the market on switch to new yard.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/0523/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par15/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 30%15/06Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 11 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 9%17/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%7/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.3%Ahead 2/4
4
10
OR 77
14/1
Hugh silks

J & A Young (Racing) Limited

Hugh

3yo Colt · 9-9

Showcasing - La Puntalina (Pivotal)

David Probert70%C G Cox60%
4298
3.0Going 8.0

Ran to a fair level on first 2 starts but was disappointing on qualifying run and failed to improve on switch to handicapping at Wolverhampton 47 days ago.

Class Advantage

6/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/0429/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/049/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/0631/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 73%6/04Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 88%29/04Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%9/06Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 22%31/07
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength5%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.1%Ahead 3/4
8
12
OR 75
25/1
Nuevo Slovo silks

Killarney Glen

Nuevo Slovo

3yo Gelding · 9-7

James Garfield - Slovak (Iffraaj)

Callum Shepherd70%S Pearce
670046
3.0Class ↓3

Ayr maiden winner in 2025 who was also an excellent sixth in Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot for John O'Donoghue. Well held all 4 starts this season for new yard, however.

Class Advantage

18/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/0622/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/09 · mark par15/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par1/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par9/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f 3y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 77%18/06Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 6%15/05Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%9/08Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 29%29/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.7%Ahead 2/4