16:01 · Ayr

Tennent's Lager Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 5f 26yGood to Soft (Soft in places)Class 33YO plusTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
8
Value2
OR 79
5/1
Spirit Of Acklam silks

Amity Finance Racing

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Cracksman - Zacchera (Zamindar)

Joanna Mason60%3/12M & D Easterby
957143
5.0

Shaded a close finish in a falsely-run handicap at Hamilton (13f) in July. Similar form when in-the-frame both starts since, finding only a pair of 3-y-os too good at Thirsk (1½m, good to soft) 12 days ago. Each-way claims again back on last winning mark.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/0528/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 50%Dist: 1m 5f 26y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 10 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%31/05Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%13/06Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%10/08Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%5/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.8%Ahead 2/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 88
15/2
Ashnak silks

Gallop Racing I

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Sea The Moon - Ashtara (Gio Ponti)

D Tudhope60%0/4D O'Meara60%
834278
5.0Class ↓2

Useful sort who gained his win in France on heavy. Made a solid start for current yard in the first half of 2026, posting a solid second over C&D in June and much better than distance beaten suggests when eighth at Haydock (1¾m, soft) 12 days ago, finding test too much. Better showing anticipated.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par29/0325/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par15/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par25/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m 5f 26y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 36%29/03Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 79%15/05Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 91%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%25/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 22%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.5%Ahead 2/4
4
Market Fav3
OR 85
11/4
Elsass silks

Mr Markus Graff & Partner

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Sottsass - Elle Memory (Maxios)

Saffie Osborne70%C Johnston
103773
4.0

Successful in pair of 11f handicaps during the spring and back to that sort of form returned to all-weather when finishing good third at Kempton (1½m, 11/2) 12 days ago, clear of rest. Still to prove himself on ground softer than good but he appeals as being on an exploitable mark and worth a look.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/054/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par24/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m 5f 26y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%15/05Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%18/07Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%21/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.5%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 97
14/1
Strassia silks

Akela Thoroughbreds Ltd & Jinky Farms

5yo Mare · 10-4

Kendargent - Stracy (Motivator)

D Nolan0/1D O'Meara80%
136069
3.0Class ↓3
Hood

Won a listed race at Saint-Cloud in 2024 but struggled for this stable last year, returning lame at Newmarket in September. Off 11 months (also hooded) looked rusty when ninth of 13 in handicap at Hamilton (1½m, good) 4 weeks ago and this promises to reveal more down in class.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/095/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par25/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par21/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength82%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 33%Dist: 1m 5f 26y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%6/09Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 29%20/03Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%25/09Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 33%21/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.6%Ahead 3/4
9
8
OR 77
9/2
Golden West silks

Reality Partnerships Xx

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Masar - Gwendolyn (Invincible Spirit)

D Allan60%0/1T D Easterby
842925
5.0Class ↓2

Hasn't won since going 2-2 as a juvenile but did post best effort for present stable when second over shorter at Thirsk last month. Could only manage fifth in Old Borough Cup at Haydock (1¾m) 12 days ago but worth another crack at this sort of trip and this is an easier assignment.

Class Advantage

12/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/0913/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par7/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 33%Dist: 1m 5f 26y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%12/09Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%24/06Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 80%7/08Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%5/09
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.3%Ahead 3/4
7
7
OR 80
10/1
Northwest Passage silks

Ontoawinner & Alfa Site Services Ltd

4yo Gelding · 9-1

Ulysses - Dijlah (Linamix)

Jason Hart60%0/1I Furtado
205255
4.0Going 8.0

Relished testing conditions when off the mark at Salisbury (1¼m) 12 months ago. Bettered that form a couple of times in defeat for present yard. Best not judged too harshly on his latest run over hurdles and any further rain would aid his cause returned to this sphere. Up in trip.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par12/0420/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par5/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m 5f 26y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 10 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 31%12/04Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 94%12/06Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%10/08Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%5/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.9%Ahead 3/4
5
5
OR 83
12/1
Minstrel Knight silks

Gaelic Bloodstock

5yo Gelding · 9-4

Advertise - True To Love (Es Que Love)

O J Orr60%E Bethell
040200
5.0Going 8.0

Best efforts on Flat have come with give underfoot and he got his act together over hurdles when landing back-to-back novices during the winter. Clearly not 100% when tailed off on return at Thirsk (2m) in May but forecast easier ground in his favour back from a break and bounce back possible.

Class Advantage

13/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/0928/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below28/09 · mark par14/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a23/01 · C3 · finish vs mark above23/01 · mark par31/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 33%Dist: 1m 5f 26y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%13/09Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 66%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%14/12Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%23/01Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 13 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%31/05
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.5%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 82
20/1
Azahara Palace silks

Mr J Fyffe

6yo Mare · 9-3

Adaay - Josefa Goya (Sakhee's Secret)

Mikey Sheehy60%0/1A Keatley60%
152796
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
1st Tongue Strap +2

Successful in a handicap at Epsom (1½m) last July and a winner over hurdles for this yard at Hexham in the winter. Lightly raced since and feasible to think the drop to 9f was against her when last seen at Hamilton in May. This test more suitable with a tongue strap now added.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/1110/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par16/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below16/02 · mark par21/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par17/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par17/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m 5f 26y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%26/11Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%28/12Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 57%21/03Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%17/05
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.6%Ahead 3/4
11
11
OR 75
6/1
Pearl Eye silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

6yo Gelding · 8-11

Expert Eye - Treat Gently (Cape Cross)

Rhys Elliott60%−5lbJ S Goldie60%
361466
3.0
Cheek pieces

Scored at Hamilton/here over shorter trips for his new yard this summer. Hasn't gone with the same verve more recently, though, again slow to gather his stride and going about things thoroughly unenthusiastically when sixth at Haydock (1¼m) 2 weeks ago. Back up in trip now.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0627/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par13/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par10/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par3/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places) · 17%Dist: 1m 5f 26y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 87%13/06Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 62%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%13/07Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 58%10/08Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 58%3/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.8%Ahead 1/4
12
9
OR 75
16/1
Humble Spark silks

Mr James Callow & Mr J S Goldie

6yo Gelding · 8-11

Acclamation - Maiden Approach (New Approach)

Lauren Young60%0/6−5lbJ S Goldie60%
262966
3.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

On a lengthy losing run but went very close in Queen Mothers Cup at York in June. Clearly on an exploitable mark but he's compromised his chance with slow starts on each of his 3 starts since.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/0530/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par13/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par20/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places)Dist: 1m 5f 26y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%15/05Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%13/06Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 44%10/07Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 44%25/07
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.8%Ahead 1/4
10
10
OR 77
50/1
High Point silks

High Gold Racing

5yo Gelding · 8-12

New Bay - Pacharana (Oasis Dream)

A Mullen70%0/3I Jardine60%
301000
2.0

Won at Yarmouth (11.5f, soft) in June, Has finished last in 3 handicaps since joining his new stable but could take a step forward now returned to a longer trip/softer ground for all a leap of faith is understandably required.

Class Advantage

25/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/03 · mark par25/0327/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par11/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par8/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Soft (Soft in places)Dist: 1m 5f 26y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%25/03Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%11/06Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 10 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%8/08Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%15/08
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.2%Ahead 1/4