15:38 · Pontefract

Donate To New Beginnings Horses At nbhorses.org.uk Handicap

2m 1f 27yGoodClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market Fav2
OR 72
7/4
Digger One silks

Mrs Michelle Anne Crook

5yo Gelding · 10-1

Mukhadram - Roshina (Chevalier)

Josephine Gordon60%2/5Kieran Burke60%
94811
7.0

Much improved since switched to handicaps over staying trips. making light of a 6 lb rise for his Salisbury success when taking 8-runner handicap at Kempton (2m) 2 weeks ago, impressing in coming from near-last to first under hands-and-heels ride. Big player in hat-trick bid.

Class Advantage

21/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/1115/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 2m 1f 27y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 20%21/11Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 57%29/06Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +53.6%Ahead 4/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 73
6/1
An Bradan Feasa silks

Mr Jack Jones

6yo Gelding · 10-2

Camelot - Grianan Ailigh (Shantou)

Jake Dickson60%0/1−5lbJack Jones60%
122224
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Successful 4 times on turf/all-weather last year and has gone close on several occasions this season, latterly when just touched off over 2m at Newmarket in August. Failed to replicate that when fourth at Kempton latest but no surprise to see him bounce back.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/0518/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par15/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 1f 27y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 33%31/05Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%15/07Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 80%14/08Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.8%Ahead 0/4
2
3
OR 72
9/2
No More Bolero silks

Simon Hunt And Bob Wilson

7yo Gelding · 10-1

Protectionist - Ninfea (Selkirk)

Cieren Fallon80%James Owen70%
001266
7.0
Blinkers

Successful on the level at Bath (17f) in the spring and continued in good form over hurdles in recent months, landing back-to-back handicaps at around 2m. Performed well in finishing placed on each of his last 2 starts and this in-form sort is respected back on the level.

Class Advantage

17/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par17/055/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par17/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 1f 27y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%17/05Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%15/08Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 3 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%6/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.1%Ahead 3/4
4
6
OR 71
3/1
Port George silks

The Hon Lady Heber-percy

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Golden Horn - Harbour Of Hope (Monsun)

Charlie Maggs60%O Greenall & J Guerriero60%
72761
6.0

Fair form on second of 3 starts in novice/maidens and caused a surprise after 11 months off when making second start in handicaps a winning one at Thirsk (1¾m) in July. Remains unexposed over marathon trips but that form has hardly proved the most robust and this rates tougher.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a24/0424/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par24/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 60%Dist: 2m 1f 27y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%24/04Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 88%24/05Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%22/07Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%2/09Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 100%24/07
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.0%Ahead 3/4
7
5
OR 54
16/1
Punxsutawney Phil silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd & Partner

9yo Gelding · 8-11

Shirocco - Chilly Filly (Montjeu)

Olivia Haines60%−7lbM Walford60%
568703
6.0

In good form over hurdles during 2024/25 season, winning twice. However, turned in a laboured display after 18 months off when finishing a well-beaten third in heavy ground Beverley handicap (2m) 18 days ago. Again goes without usual headgear.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1224/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par13/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par20/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par21/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 2m 1f 27y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%26/12Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%13/02Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 93%21/03Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%30/08
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.1%Ahead 3/4
5
4
OR 62
10/1
Merrijig silks

The Beverley House Stables Partnership

8yo Gelding · 9-5

Schiaparelli - Near Wild Heaven (Robin Des Champs)

Gina Mangan60%3/15John Berry60%
163236
5.0
Blinkers

Capitalised on a falling mark at Newcastle last November and performed with credit when placed on 3 of his 5 starts since the spring. Probably best not judged too harshly on his latest Ffos Las sixth (race run at steady gallop) but others appear stronger for win purposes.

Class Advantage

18/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/11 · mark par18/116/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par30/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par17/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 1f 27y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%18/11Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 82%8/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%17/07Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 17%27/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.8%Ahead 1/4