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20:19 · Churchill Downs

Race 8 - Starter Allowance

7f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 101
5/2
Bob's Carrot silks

Workman Ranch

Bob's Carrot

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Daredevil - Noelle's Mischief (Into Mischief)

Jaime Torres60%2/5Carlos Santamaria60%
733113
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

22/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/11 · mark par22/1121/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par5/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par19/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par21/05 · C7 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par11/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 88%22/11Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 71%5/02Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%21/05Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%11/07
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.7%Ahead 3/4
2
Market Fav2
OR 94
2/1
Remi's Moon silks

Epona Racing Stable, Toga Party Racing Stable And Bogey's Bets, Llc

Remi's Moon

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Enticed - E Moon (Malibu Moon)

Jose Ortiz60%Joe Sharp80%
441464
5.0

Class Advantage

27/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par27/029/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par13/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par12/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par7/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%27/02Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%10/05Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 55%12/07Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 63%7/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.8%Ahead 2/4
7
3
OR 92
8/1
Mo Work silks

Dark Knight Racing

Mo Work

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Outwork - Outrageous Miss (Bernardini)

Axel Concepcion60%Mark Simms60%
710322
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

20/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par20/0216/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par29/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%20/02Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 10 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%29/04Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 83%6/08Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%28/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -37.6%Ahead 1/4
4
4
OR 97
4/1
Trouble Time silks

Vaccarezza Racing, Llc, Gladwell, Torie And Mallory, Scott

Trouble Time

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Not This Time - She's Trouble (Into Mischief)

Tyler GaffalioneNicholas Vaccarezza60%
17354
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

27/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/097/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par7/1126/12 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1225/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%27/09Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 14%7/11Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%26/12Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%25/07
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.6%Ahead 2/4
1
5
OR 89
6/1
Ski Bum silks

David Jacobson

Ski Bum

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Medaglia D'oro - Aspening (Candy Ride)

Joel Rosario60%David Jacobson60%
193211
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

6/02 · C9 · finish vs mark above6/02 · mark par6/021/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par4/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par25/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par24/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%6/02Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 78%25/04Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 90%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%25/06Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%24/07
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.3%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 99
6/1
Ghostwritten silks

David Williams

Ghostwritten

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Ghostzapper - Dixie Moon (Curlin)

Luis Saez60%Christophe Davis60%
35251
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

23/01 · C7 · finish vs mark n/a23/0122/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par19/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par22/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par13/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%23/01Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%22/02Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%19/04Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%22/05Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%13/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.4%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 84
15/1
Stomp silks

Anita Ebert Racing, Llc

Stomp

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Mitole - High Heels (E Dubai)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%1/1R Moquett60%
381
6.0

Class Advantage

8/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0217/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/084/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%8/02Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 8 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 22%17/08Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%4/07
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.4%Ahead 1/3