5

Jeu De Role
7yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Laniste Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 | Auteuil | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2023-10-20 | Auteuil | ? | 0 | ||
| 2023-05-19 | Nancy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2023 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/11/2023 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 31/05/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |