5

Jeu De Role

7yo Gelding · 11-0

Auteuil · Prix Laniste Chase · 2m 5f 191y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nancy 19/05/2023 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 2m2f195y 15019/05C?C0 @ Auteuil 11/11/2023 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 2m5f191y Hvy 15211/11C?C0 @ Auteuil 31/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 15031/05C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-05-31Auteuil?7th7th0
2023-11-11Auteuil?4th4th0
2023-10-20Auteuil?0
2023-05-19Nancy?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0511/1131/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength6%

Delivery trend -5.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20231st7/282%100%+0.18
11/11/20234th11/142%67%+0.25
31/05/20257th11/142%50%+0.08