1
Jirais Au Balle
7yo Gelding · 11-4
Auteuil · Prix Laniste Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-08 | Craon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-10 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-11-18 | Angers | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2024 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/02/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 12/03/2024 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 18/11/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 18/07/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 10/08/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 08/09/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |