3
Konfiner
6yo Gelding · 11-2
Auteuil · Prix Laniste Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength7%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 3
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-28 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-11-16 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-14 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-09-02 | Craon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-08-18 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2024-07-13 | Dieppe | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2024 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 13% | +0.07 |
| 21/04/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 08/05/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 15/06/2024 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 13/07/2024 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 02/09/2024 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 14/09/2024 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 16/11/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 58% | +0.21 |
| 28/07/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |