8
Legende Allen
5yo Filly · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix Laniste Chase · 2m 5f 191y
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength37%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.1
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Compiegne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Auteuil | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength87%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 20/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 11/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 64% | -0.15 |
| 11/03/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 26/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |