7

Roi Danaos
3yo Gelding · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix Robert Lejeune Hurdle - Grade 3 · 2m 1f 196y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Compiegne | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-15 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 9th | −7 |
| 2026-04-01 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 11th | −7 |
| 2025-10-08 | Argentan | ? | 10th | 15th | −4 |
| 2025-08-29 | Saint-Malo | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength26%
Delivery trend +2.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 08/10/2025 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |