7

Roi Danaos

3yo Gelding · 10-3

Auteuil · Prix Robert Lejeune Hurdle - Grade 3 · 2m 1f 196y

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Saint-Malo 29/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12829/08C5C5 @ Argentan 08/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 1288/10C5C8 @ Compiegne 01/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m7f199y Hvy 1561/04C8C8 @ Fontainebleau 15/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Ver 15815/04C84 @ Compiegne 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m7f199y Ver 1504/0541 @ Auteuil 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14317/051projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-17Auteuil16th6th0
2026-05-04Compiegne41st5th3
2026-04-15Fontainebleau?1st9th7
2026-04-01Compiegne?3rd11th7
2025-10-08Argentan?10th15th4
2025-08-29Saint-Malo?7th12th4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/088/101/0415/044/0517/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/08/20257th10/147%33%-0.14
08/10/202510th20/10%18%+0.18
01/04/20263rd14/126%71%+0.45
15/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
04/05/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
17/05/20266th16/116%17%+0.01