3
Sommerkonig
3yo Gelding · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix Robert Lejeune Hurdle - Grade 3 · 2m 1f 196y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.6 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 1
Class gap: -3.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | 4 | 4th | 8th | −3 |
| 2026-04-30 | Dieppe | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Le Mans | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2025-07-09 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 29/10/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 08/09/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |