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4

Supreme Light

3yo Colt · 10-3

Auteuil · Prix Robert Lejeune Hurdle - Grade 3 · 2m 1f 196y

#7

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -2.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 02/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1282/12C5C0 @ Fontainebleau 09/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Ver 1479/03C?4 @ Auteuil 09/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1509/0441 @ Auteuil 17/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14317/051projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-17Auteuil17th7th0
2026-04-09Auteuil42nd6th−3
2026-03-09Fontainebleau?3rd3rd0
2025-12-02Deauville?13th18th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/129/039/0417/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength1%

Delivery trend -11.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/12/202513th40/10%20%+0.20
09/03/20263rd22/10%80%+0.80
09/04/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
17/05/20267th20/10%0%0.00