2

Illyadame

4yo Filly · 10-10

Auteuil · Prix Cadoudal Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/8

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

86%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 2m2f86y Sft 14327/0352 @ Compiegne 21/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 14521/042projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-21Compiegne21st1st0
2026-03-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat51st5th3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0321/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +15.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
21/04/20261st9/276%100%+0.24