4
Nortia
4yo Filly · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Cadoudal Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 2
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fontainebleau | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |