10

Bel Atlantique

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Auteuil · Prix Henri Gleizes Chase · 2m 1f 87y

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 14/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 15014/12C?3 @ Nantes 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 14711/0534 @ Dieppe 30/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 14730/084projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Dieppe44th6th2
2026-05-11Nantes31st2nd1
2025-12-14Pau?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1211/0530/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -25.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/12/20254th9/276%79%+0.02
11/05/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
30/08/20264th9/488%40%-0.48