6

Boystone

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Auteuil · Prix Henri Gleizes Chase · 2m 1f 87y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

12%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.4
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 30/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Hvy 14730/10C?C0 @ Nantes 12/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 2m1f87y Hvy 15012/11C?C0 @ Pau 14/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y 15014/12C?C0 @ Pau 07/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 2m88y Sft 1547/01C?C4 @ Auteuil 23/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 2m1f196y Hvy 14423/02C41 @ Auteuil 09/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 145 · HIGHER CLASS9/041projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-09Auteuil16th5th+1
2026-02-23Auteuil?1st3rd2
2026-01-07Pau?3rd3rd0
2025-12-14Pau?3rd3rd0
2025-11-12Nantes?2nd2nd0
2025-10-30Lyon-Parilly?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/1012/1114/127/0123/029/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength22%

Delivery trend -5.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/10/20252nd9/276%90%+0.14
12/11/20252nd5/287%75%-0.12
14/12/20253rd5/174%71%-0.02
07/01/20263rd5/287%67%-0.20
23/02/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
09/04/20266th7/282%29%-0.53