5
Killing Bid
4yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix Henri Gleizes Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
63%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength47%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | 1 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-03-28 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-12 | Auteuil | ? | +2 | ||
| 2025-09-27 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |
| 10/04/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |
| 19/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |