1
Lewis Grey
4yo Gelding · 11-4
Auteuil · Prix Henri Gleizes Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.9
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Clairefontaine | 1 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Clairefontaine | 5 | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2025-12-25 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Compiegne | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/05/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |
| 09/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 25/10/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 28/11/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 25/12/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 22/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |