12
Mieszko
4yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Henri Gleizes Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 2
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Auteuil | 1 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Auteuil | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -21.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/12/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |