7
Mountain Ridge
4yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Henri Gleizes Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/4
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength53%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.4
Today: 2
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Auteuil | 1 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-19 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Auteuil | 1 | 2nd | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-16 | Auteuil | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-07 | Auteuil | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2024 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 18/11/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/03/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 03/04/2025 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 29% | -0.42 |
| 07/10/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 16/11/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 01/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |